Sunday, October 11 Early Voting Update: Virginia leads the nation in ballots returned, with early in-person voting well underway. Georgia, Kansas, and North Carolina begin early voting this week, while Texas will take center stage during the final two weeks before Election Day.
US Elections 🗳️
by @eventsforgood.bsky.social
Posts from experts on US elections and election results.
Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D-OH) is facing backlash over a campaign ad breaking with her party on trans issues. “I voted with Republicans to keep transgender ideology out of our schools…” Kaptur says, adding that “boys should not play in girls’ sports.”
NEWS — Former Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback (R) endorses Sen. Roger Marshall’s re-election bid, breaking with fellow former Republican governors who have endorsed Democrat Adam Hamilton.
Michelle Tafoya is seeking to flip Minnesota's U.S. Senate seat , a state Kamala Harris won by four points in 2024. In a new ad, she described herself as a “pro-choice Republican.” Tafoya currently trails by just 2.7 points in VoteHub’s Minnesota polling average.
RATINGS CHANGE — VoteHub moves NC-01 to Lean Democratic, favoring incumbent Don Davis over Republican Laurie Buckhout. Despite Trump carrying the district by 12 points, Davis benefits from his candidate strength, favorable demographic trends, and Roy Cooper’s coattails.
Donald Trump's net approval rating has reached another all-time low, now 24.8 points underwater. Despite some expectations that previous lows represented his floor, continued declines among young, Hispanic, and non-college white voters have pushed his approval even lower.
A pop-up Super PAC is spending six figures on mailers backing a socialist running as an independent in the Ohio Senate race against Husted and Brown. We won’t know the donors for a while but there are signs it’s a GOP-backed effort.
You can see Dearborn from space on our 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate shift map. VoteHub projects Abdul El-Sayed to significantly outperform Kamala Harris in Arab-majority communities, winning them by wide margins against Republican Mike Rogers.