Adam Mount @ajmount.com · Oct 28 4. The results get a bit wild and offer an unusually detailed look at how US officials understand the value of nuclear weapons and the operation of deterrence. In this specific (easy) scenario, 17 of 20 former officials recommended a conventional response and 11 favored conventional deterrence.
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5. My takeaways: • US officials consider conventional deterrence of nuclear use to be a valuable option. • There is no consensus about how conventional (or nuclear!) deterrence could work. • The US and allies should stop denigrating its credibility and start enhancing it.