Armin Schaefer

@arminschaefer.bsky.social

4840 Followers 816 Following

Professor for Comparative Politics @uni_mainz | Democracy | Political Participation | Inequality | Responsiveness & Populism

Picture of IPZ building.
This plot shows average response rates of the European Social Survey. Between 2002 and 2023 the have fallen from 61 to 41 per cent.
This figure shows the regression coefficients of two models indicating that losing has a stronger impact on more populist voters. The bottom part of the figure shows the marginal effect of losing for different levels of populism.
This graph shows the negative correlation between populist attitudes and satisfaction with democracy. However, the negative effect is much more pronounced for electoral losers than winners. In other words, the more populist the attitudes, the more severely losing dampens satisfaction with democracy.
This plot show how age groups voted in the general election earlier this year in Germany. There are striking differences beween age groups and women and men. Data: Federal Returning Office.
This figures shows the average satisfaction with democracy for three education groups across different birth cohorts. In younger cohorts, the education gap in satisfaction with democracy is much wider. Based on waves 1 to 11 of the European Social Survey.
The figures show the vote share for radical right parties broken down by six cohorts, women and men, and three levels of education. Support for these parties is higher among younger cohorts, men, and those with medium and low levels of education. Data: European Social Survey, waves 1 to 10.
The figures show the vote share for Green parties broken down by six cohorts, women and men, and three levels of education. Support for these parties is higher among younger cohorts, but the differences between education groups are also highest among them. Data: European Social Survey, waves 1 to 10.
The graph shows the combined vote share of the Christian Democrats and Social Democrats in Germany against the sum of all other parties. In the 1970s these two parties won more than 90% of all votes, but on Sunday they are predicted to fall below 50% together for the first time.
Die Abbildung zeigt die prognostizierten Ergebnisse der Parteien bei der Bundestagswahl mit der Schwankungsbreite. Daten: wahlrecht.de
The AI-generated image shows a sad person in a bowling alley wondering where everyone is. She is alone and no one wants to join her. It alludes to Robert Putnam's book "Bowling Alone".
A matrix of correlations for voter turnout in 83 urban districts in the city of Bremen.
An animated graph showing voter turnout in 83 neighbourhoods in the city of Bremen, Germany. Voter turnout was high and not too different in 1983, but has become much more unequal since then in Bundestag elections.
The picture shows a woman with a grim expression while casting her vote. She thinks of sharks.
The picture shows a smiling Hobbit who casts a vote.
Depending on their level of populism, the graph shows how satisfied winners and losers are with the way democracy works. Data: CSES.
Book cover of "Contested Representation" edited by Claudia Landwehr, Thomas Saalfeld and Armin Schäfer.
Lukas Haffert giving a presentation in Mainz.
Poster with talks at the sociology department.
A photo of Eva Krick.
This figure shows how different levels of racial and class segregation lead to different poverty rates in 16 (stylized) neighbourhoods. With higher segregation, poverty becomes more concentrated. Based on Massey, Douglas S. (1990): American Apartheid. Segregation and the Making of the Underclass. In: American Journal of Sociology 96 (2), S. 329–357.
An overview of the talks to be held at the Institute of Political Science at the University of Mainz in the coming months.
Book covers of six books that deal with social policy in the United States.
Cover and back of the newly published book "The Democratic Regression" by Armin Schäfer & Michael Zürn.
The figure shows the perception of the US Supreme Court based on respondents ideological self-placement. The more liberal respondents are, the more conservative the they think SCOTUS is. Data from the Cooperative Election Study 2022.
The bar chart shows the percentage of U.S. Americans who agree to the statement that "true American patriots may have to resort to violence in order to save our country". Source: https://www.prri.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/2023-AVS-Presentation.pdf
The figure shows the share of female and male MPs in the German Bundestag per party.
This figure shows the difference between life expectancy in the US and the average of 21 rich democracies (mainly European countries, South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Canada). Over time, the gap is widening dramatically.
This figures shows how many reform proposals are implemented in Germany when two thirds of the citizens either support or oppose the reform.
The figure shows the difference in opinion congruence between workers and MPs vs civil servants and MPs (left side) and between workers and MPs vs business owners (right sight). MPs' view are more in line with higher social classes.
This figures show five graphs that show the support for descriptive representation among MPs by party and gender.
This figure contains five graphs that show on a scale from 1 to 7 how much German MPs support descriptive representation based on gender, class, ethnicity, age and sexual identity.