ASRA

@asranetwork.org

106 Followers 247 Following

A new entity to catalyse the emerging field of systemic risk analysis. Learn more: https://www.asranetwork.org/

The first panel of the First Dog on the Moon cartoon in the Guardian. A dog in a lab coat asks an otter with a brainwave checking hat on: "How do animals feel about stuff and is this the most important question of our age? Probably (yes)
ASRA Network members present from a script in front of a projection of a phoenix rising from the flames.
Illustration of the River Tone. This is a graphic for the webinar "Through fur, claw, and whisker: lessons from risk assessment beyond human eyes," taking place on 24 September, 14:00 BST.
Increased vulnerability: Chip. Chip. Chip. Collapse. A mountain range where 'chip' is written at the top of each peak. On the last peak, stones tumble down the side alongside the tumbling letters that spell out 'collapse'.
A motion-blurred photo of six people wearing brightly coloured clothes holding hands and walking in a circle. Overlaid text reads: "UNDP and ASRA launch partnership on crisis anticipation". In the bottom-right corner are the ASRA and UNDP logos.
Polycrisis: Crises, spawning crises, spawning crises, and they're feeding each other, all at once. A tangled pathway leads from the initial word 'crises', tangling with symbols of different systems affected such as agriculture, energy, economy, and water. The line ends with the line 'And they're feeding each other, all at once.
Two screenshots of Christiana delivering her keynote speech. The caption on the first frame reads: "Becoming more aware of systemic risk should, could, ought to make us also more aware of systemic opportunities." The caption on the second frame reads: "How do we bring them together to conform the basis for the energy that we need to move forward is sort of my constant mantra."
Through Fur, Claw, and Whisker: Lessons from Risk Assessment Beyond Human Eyes. 24 September, 14:00 BST, Webinar. A line art drawing of the River Tone on a light gray background. Photos of a deer, the River Tone, and a kestrel overlay the illustration.
Transformation: You can't fit a square inside a circle, but you can transform one into the other. Things can change. A white square becomes a circle in a sequence of overlapping shapes.
The Animal Collaboration Guide (ACG). © UWE and ASRA [2026]
Nature-centrism: Nature is the voice of the planet. It's time we learned to speak its language. What would we learn about this polycrisis moment? A spiral with many circles whose centre contains symbols of the sun, water, and plants.
Cross-sectoral recommendations to rapidly enhance systemic risk capacity. This figure illustrates, at a high level, the proposed actions (depicted in each of the six segments of the circle) that should be urgently undertaken by six different groups of organizations (depicted on the outside of the circle) to collectively contribute toward building systemic risk capacity across scales and sectors. Image originally published in One Earth Journal.
Sun lights up a rocky stream. Overlaid text reads: "Radically Rethinking Risk: ASRA's monthly newsletter".
A stylized systems map showing causal links between the net-zero transition and other systemic drivers.
A photo of the milky way. Overlaid over the stars and an ASRA pink half moon, the title reads: "New paper: Principles for just and effective systemic risk governance".
A projection of MOTH's logo on the walls of the Old Theatre in LSE.
Image of mist drifting across a snowy field. Text reads: "The blind spot gets bigger: What the latest AMOC research means for UK national security"
Honest Hope: We must approach the future with clear-eyed realism and honest hope instead of 'optimism' and 'pessimism'. A full sun sets over water with ripples that represent different ways to approach the future. The first two lines titled 'optimism' and pessimism' are crossed out. 'Clear-eyed realism' and 'Honest hope' are what remain.
A cartoon of a tree growing on the hill, and the tree represents ASRA. Two people stand looking at the tree and one says: "Does it have solid foundations?" The hill is transparent and we see that the ASRA tree has thousands of twisting roots that extend deep underground. The cartoon is by Rojo Ham
“I have gone into schools to talk about systemic risks…it’s incredibly energizing and I learn so much. I really want to impart a perspective that there are things that we can all do regardless of our age or stage in life.” Portrait of Sarah Hendel-Blackford, Director of Systemic Risk Policy & Response, ASRA
Earthstar mushrooms. "Which risks disturb you?"
Cartoon of a man looking through a telescope at a tree. Next to the tree is a series of disasters from a tornado and a fire, to a rocket crashing and a storm. The man says "It all looks fine from here."
Three sparrows turn towards each other as they sit on a wooden fence in the snow.
Cascading: All these crises? They're consequences, not coincidences. A line of dominoes with the first domino beginning to tip and cause a chain of collisions with the following dominoes.
"Awakening the nature-centric mindset". A photo of tiny brown mushrooms growing from a mossy slope.
"Critical points of intervention: Every crisis has a unique orbit. The opportunity lies in intervening before they align." Three concentric circles with one spot travelling in an orbit on each circle.
An underwater photo taken inside a river from its rocky bed. The title reads: "What risks are revealed when we look at a river beyond human eyes?"
Photo of an iceberg with the title "Letting go of certainty offers a new way to tackle global crises."
Portrait of Sarah Hendel-Blackford on a promotion graphic for the World Adaptation Forum held in Budapest 23-24 April. The background shows a world on fire.
Light reflects on a shallow stream. Overlaid text reads "Radically Rethinking Risk, ASRA's monthly newsletter."
A photo of a river running over white rocks overhung by luscious green forest. Overlaid text reads: Cross Currents In-conversation.
A close-up photo of layers of red and gray rock. The overlaid title reads: "The Rethink: How poor fiscal choices can amplify AI-driven instability."
Radically Rethinking Risk is ASRA’s monthly newsletter for people who want to understand the intertwined roots of the problems our world faces and identify the best responses that can trigger positive cascades of change.
Portrait of Ajay Gambhir speaking on a panel at the UN's 80th anniversary celebrations.
Image of an otter over a line drawing of the River Tone in South-West England. The title is the name of a new six-month project: "Risks beyond human eyes".
UNGA at 80: From 1946 to our future. Speaker announcement graphic with a photo of Ajay Gambhir, Director of Systemic Risk Assessment at the Accelerator for Systemic Risk Assessment. The event takes place on 17 January 2026, Methodist Central Hall Westminster.
A cartoon of a caterpillar on a branch and a butterfly flying in the air. The caterpillar says "How can I be you?" and the butterfly replies "By being you!"
A cartoon of a chrysalis hanging from a tree branch. A sign hanging to the right of the chrysalis says: metamorphysing, transmogrifying, transforming, transmuting, transfiguring, and more... The cartoon is by Hameed Khan and Eugenia Rojo.
Three solid white circles overlay the intricate veins of a green leaf. This is ASRA's Multiple Ways of Knowing principle, which encourages you to embrace a range of disciplines and worldviews to perceive, understand, and act on risk.
Cross Currents in-conversation – a photo of a river of cloudy blue water running and branching over white rocks, overhung by a lush green forest.
Grey blue glacial ice overlap in shadowy shapes and spikes. A white circle overlays the centre of the image and to its bottom-left, hovers another smaller white circle. This is ASRA's Transformation principle card. It encourages you to address systemic risk in contextually sensitive ways as the world changes at magnitude and speed.
Three white circles overlap in a downward cascade, overlaid on layers of high-contrast green and spiky palm leaves. This is ASRA's Cross-Scale principle, which encourages you to identify critical points of intervention to prevent systemic risk at all scales.
A white circle surrounded by a dashed circle overlays a sepia-tinted cloudy sky. This is ASRA's Compassion principle, focusing on care and fostering an adaptive capacity to respond to risks and crises.
Sand dunes ripple like dry water in the desert. In the centre of the image, there is a circle made up of white dashes. This is ASRA's Uncertainty principle card. This principle is about integrating uncertainty to develop contextually sensitive and participatory scenarios and solutions.
A green leafy canopy and photos of Thomas Homer-Dixon and Ruth Richardson who will speak during our event: Mapping the Hope Attractor. The event will take place on November 6 at 17:00 GMT.
A tangle of tree roots with three interlocking white circles overlaid in the centre. This is ASRA's Complexity principle card. Complexity means working in dynamic and interdependent ways, recognizing that decisions can have unintended consequences.