Bobby Kogan

@bbkogan.bsky.social

39541 Followers 489 Following

Senior Director of Federal Budget Policy for the Center for American Progress doing budget, tax, and econ. Formerly: Biden OMB, Biden Transition Team, Senate Budget Committee (Murray and Sanders). CBO and OMB’s biggest fan! Personal account.

60% 40% 20% Income Inequality 60% 38% /FOX NEWS POLL WHO POLITICAL PARTY WOULD BETTER HANDLE TOP ISSUES? Which political party - the Democrats or the Republicans - do you think would do a better job on each of the following? • Democratic Party Republican Party Healthcare Inflation and prices The economy Forelgn policy Government spending Immigration National security 60% 54% 54% 53% 51% 50% 49% 50% 44% 45% 48% 48% 46% 39% Crime 53% 46%
Line go way up right after ww2, then go down, hit lowest in 2000, and now up from half a percent of gdp to 1.4%, the highest since 1952.
001% EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET WASHINGTON, D.C. 20503 July 16, 2026 (House) Concurrent Resolution Establishing the Congressional Budget for the United States Government for Fiscal Year 2027 and Setting Forth the appropriate Budgetary Levels for Fiscal Years 2028 through 2036 (Rep. Arrington, R-1X) The Administration strongly supports the immediate passage of the resolution entitled "Concurrent resolution establishing the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2027 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2028 through 2036." This budget resolution is a crucial first step in allowing congressional Republicans to quickly pass a budget reconciliation bill that protects America's elections, strengthens America's national defense, and supports American farmers. For too long, congressional Democrats have obstructed efforts to restore confidence in American elections. This budget resolution begins the process to enable the Congress to enact critical election integrity measures included in the desperately-needed SAVE America Act on a party-line basis via the budget reconciliation process. The SAVE America Act includes commonsense measures to ensure only U.S. citizens are registered to vote in Federal elections and require the use of voter ID, which are critical for election integrity. The reconciliation bill made possible by this budget resolution would also provide funding necessary for the Department of War (DOW) to cover increased operational costs and readiness expenses, while making investments to support critical capabilities, munitions procurement, and strengthen the U.S. industrial base. The reconciliation bill would also help lower food prices by providing much-needed economic assistance to America's farmers. The Administration is committed to working closely with the Congress to pass another budget reconciliation bill as soon as possible to secure the Nation's election…
Lifelink T: You draw a card and lose 1 life. Then if your library has no cards in it, you win the game. (You win even if you have 0 life or didn't draw a card.) Rarity:M #:654 Card Type:Legendary Creature — Human Sorcerer Villain Flavor:"Those who dare stand against Doom do not stand for long!" Casting Cost: 2BB Artist:Vilhelmas Banys
LCARS 23493 01-25483 CAPTAIN KATHRYN JANEWAY 3 478 060206 LEGENDARY CREATURE - HUMAN OFFICER 02-35478 03-42590 YOU MAY PLAY AN ADDITIONAL LAND ON EACH OF YOUR TURNS. WHENEVER CAPTAIN JANEWAY OR ANOTHER CREATURE YOU CONTROL ENTERS, THAT CREATURE EXPLORES. 04-72581 05-29452 M 0386 TRK • EN JURIUS CHITROVAS 2/3 © 2026 CBS. ™M & © 2026 Wizards of the Coast
Politics & Poll Tracker S* @PollTracker2024 X.com Former Senator Ben Sasse (R-NE) says in an interview this week that his tumors shrunk by 80% thanks to new cancer drug Ben Sasse: "I'm down 99%, in five months, of how much cancer is in my blood." 8:04 PM • 7/10/26 • 353K Views
More than a 9% cut on a real per-capita basis since 2023
line bounce up and down from 1986-2010. Then a level shift down but flat through 2020. And then just down down down down since then.
This weekend, America celebrates its 250th birthday. For over 90 of those years, Social Security has provided financial freedom for America's seniors. President Donald J. Trump and the Trump Administration are not only protecting Social Security, but we are providing meaningful and immediate relief to older Americans who have spent decades contributing to our nation's economy. Just last year, on July 4, 2025, President Trump signed into law the Working Families Tax Cuts Act. This historic legislation included a tax cut that allows Americans 65 and older to keep more of their hard-earned Social Security benefits. Thanks to President Trump, over 35 million American seniors received an average of $7,500 in relief this tax season. If you did not take advantage of the President's signature tax cut for seniors, I encourage you to review eligibility. requirements through the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) website for next
Trump made so so so so many trades
x-men 97 season 2
Alayna Treene ® @alaynatreene X.com After his SCOTUS loss, Trump is now directing Congress to pass legislation "ending" birthright citizenship Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump • 2m The Supreme Court upheld Birthright Citizenship, which is too bad for our Country, but we can easily make it up in Congress through Legislation, with the support of the President, that has now been determined during this process. No long and unwieldy Constitutional Amendment is necessary! Congress should start TODAY to work on ending expensive and unfair to our Country, Birthright Citizenship. They will have my Complete and Total Support! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Jurassic Park truck
Conclusion In the near term, Congress must rediscover its reaction function and seek responsible ways to lower primary deficits. But in the medium term, Congress should aim to eliminate primary deficits fully and pursue a small primary surplus. Crucially, however, Congress should ensure that any deficit reduction does not harm the poorest or vital public services on which Americans rely. Irresponsible deficit reduction is significantly worse than doing nothing, but doing nothing is worse than responsible deficit reduction. Congress should look first and foremost to undo some of the many tax cuts significantly tilted toward the wealthy, which are responsible for the fiscal gap in the first place.
Graph showing productivity growth temporarily increasing after the adoption of the internet before going back down.
Table 1 of https://www.americanprogress.org/article/why-the-national-debt-matters-more-than-it-used-to-and-why-we-should-not-count-on-ai-to-fix-the-problem/
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/why-the-national-debt-matters-more-than-it-used-to-and-why-we-should-not-count-on-ai-to-fix-the-problem/ section on "What's the problem with ever-rising debt?"
If the country had to quickly reduce primary deficits by 2.6 percent of GDP to close the fiscal gap, it would mean deeply painful spending cuts or tax increases with negative growth impacts—occurring by definition, as it is important to remember, at a time of higher interest rates. For example, this would mean raising taxes by 15 percent (more than $5,100 on the average employed individual if borne entirely by them) or cutting program spending by 13 percent—or 57 percent if Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), veterans spending, and defense spending are left untouched, or 23 percent if just Social Security and Medicare are left untouched.
A line graph showing that the debt as a percentage of the gross domestic product are historically high outside of recessions and wars, but it would instead be declining if not for the Bush and Trump tax cuts.
Wolverine, Fierce Fighter Legendary Creature - Mutant Berserker Hero M Haste When Wolverine enters, he fights up to one other target creature. If damage would be dealt to Wolverine, instead that damage is dealt, but all other damage already dealt to him is healed. R 0378 MSH • EN te TODD NAUCK 3/5 € MARVEL 2020 Wizards of the Coast
https://openomb.org/file/11524925
https://openomb.org/file/11525457
6017 Category B -- White House Security Measures Line added— +$340,800,000 $340,800,000
Here is some of what participants said about your session: "He made learning about the budget fun and was very personable which I appreciated. He was honest about how and why things happen the way they do. Really helped explain some of the dysfunction of the government." → "Energizing, memorable, and informative." _ "I really appreciated his candor. He was extremely funny, entertaining, and refreshingly blunt." "His willingness to speak unrestrained about current events in politics was not only entertaining, but it also brought many of these topics we have been discussing all week at a high level to a more friendly conversational level which helped in my general
Ocarina of Time remake
WITH THE DNA WE LIBERATED FROM THE GRAVE DESECRATION YOU CALL A MUSEUM, I HAVE PERFECTED THE SAURIANIZATION PROCESS. YOU RICE PAPER PUPPETS WILL BE GIVEN FORMS BEFITTING EARTH'S DOMINANT SPECIES. YOU CAN REWRITE DNA ON THE FLY, AND YOU'RE USING IT TO TURN PEOPLE INTO DINOSAURS? BUT WITH TECH LIKE THAT YOU COULD CURE CANCER! BUT I DONIT WANT TO CURE CANCER. I WANT TO TURN PEOPLE INTO DINOSAURS.
Captain Kirk, Boldly Going 1 Legendary Creature - Human Officer Vigilance Spacecraft creatures you control get +3/+3. Whenever Captain Kirk enters or attacks, search your library and/or graveyard for a basic land card or a card named Starship Enterprise, reveal it, and put it into your hand. If you search your library this way, shuttle. 3/4 © 2026 CB5 M 0089 TRE A EN A TOSH NEWTON IN & © 2026 Wizands of the Coast
Erik Wasson ® @elwasson X.com Sen @SenatorRicketts tells @BloombergTV that the GOP will vote down all extraneous amendments to the reconciliation bill such as on Weaponization Fund because the parliamentarian has determined such amendments if adopted force a 60-vote threshold on final passage
Jake Sherman * @JakeSherman X.com JOHNSON says reconciliation 3.0 bill will be released "in the coming weeks." And @VP Vance is involved.
Senate Republicans are heading into their lunch meeting now. They’re well short of the necessary votes to kick off the floor process for ICE/CBP funding via reconciliation Lots of skepticism about passing it this week as WH leaves them guessing on whether more assurances are coming re: the weaponization fund Thune *really* wants to avoid addressing it via legislation, saying last night it risks a Trump veto. This would also make it easier for Dems to screw up the floor process with amendment votes at a simple majority https://punchbowl.news/article/white-house/trump-losses/
Reese Gorman & @reesejgorman X.com News: Trump plans to drop the weaponization fund, per a source. The conversation between Speaker Mike Johnson and Trump earlier today helped convince the president to drop the weaponization fund, source added The fund received significant backlash from Hill Republicans and a number of House Republicans were looking for ways to stop this fund from happening. Story TK. 3:08 PM • 6/1/26 • 1.9K Views
Garrett Haake @GarrettHaake New: President Trump tells me he's not heard from Iran on reports they're suspending talks w/ the US, but if true, its ok: "I think we've been talking too much if you want to know the truth. I think going silent would be very good, and that could be that could be for a long time." 12:10 PM · Jun 1, 2026 · 199.6K Views
Real Median Annual Wages, 25-64 year olds, 1961-2024 Constant 2024$ PCE-adjusted Single-year age-adjusted to 2024 age profile Roughly flat for some college, high school only, and less than high school. Priors of flat and periods of riding for both BA and advanced degree, but clearly long-term rising.
line positive if not for tax cuts
Like what can you even say?
Jordain Carney • @jordainc X.com Cruz on the Senate GOP - Blanche meeting: "Fireworks at an epic level" "One of the roughest meetings I've seen in my entire time in the senate" "Fiery does not begin to cut it. ...They were screaming at the acting attorney general" Estimates that roughly 20 Republicans would have voted for Dem amendments related to the "anti-weaponization" fund during vote-a-rama "I think if the judgment fund had not been announced this week, we would be right now on the Senate floor. We would be funding border security"
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump • 3m + ..• I gave up a lot of money in allowing the just announced Anti-Weaponization Fund to go forward. I could have settled my case, including the illegal release of my Tax Returns and the equally illegal BREAK IN of Mar-a-Lago, for an absolute fortune. Instead, I am helping others, who were so badly abused by an evil, corrupt, and weaponized Biden Administration, receive, at long last, JUSTICE! President DJT 118 L\ 286 950
Andrew Desiderio • @AndrewD....2m Text from a GOP senator just now: "Our majority is melting down before our eyes." Many R's believe Trump has brought this upon himself — creating more "free agents" out of a selfish desire to purge R's not seen as loyal enough. Andrew Desiderio @ @Andrew...• 17m News — Nearly 2-hour meeting with Acting AG Todd Blanche and Senate Republicans was incredibly hostile, per multiple attendees.
Instead, administration officials have cited a 1924 report by a federal commission charged with designing the Arlington Memorial Bridge. That report called for building a pair of 166-foot-tall columns, surmounted by statues, on Columbia Island that would frame the nearby Lincoln Memorial. Congress formally ratified the commission's report in 1925, and the Memorial Bridge was soon built. However, the columns were not constructed, and Trump officials today argue that in building the arch they would be carrying out past lawmakers' wishes.
Jordain Carney • @jordainc x.com Kennedy coming out of lunch tells reporters that all of the Secret Service security funding is out: "We were told that the ballroom money is out." All secret service funding? "My understanding is it's all out." ICYMI we scooped earlier today 4 Jordain Carney • @jordainc.2h Update: Senate Republicans are preparing to strip out the Secret Service provision, according to four people No final announcement yet -- and Rs will meet for...
Can't do a better job explaining than the text of the posts themselves
All time low under Clinton. Current level lowest except for Clinton and Bush and Obama, but on track to be lowest except a single year under Clinton.
Meredith Lee Hill O @meredithllee X.com House Dems in the Rules meeting just now tried to make in order legislation to block payouts from $1.8 billion DOJ fund to Jan 6 defendants. It failed on a party-line vote. Meredith Lee Hill • @meredithllee • 4h Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) tells @politico the $1.8 billion fund set up by Trump admin "appears like conflict of interest and a partial process." "We have the claimant negotiating wi... Show more
US produces more at PPP per hour worked than any of the other g7 countries
Time for a stiff drink Average number of drinks per capita consumed in the past week, by decile, among adults aged 18 and over. 73.85 drinks 30 percent of American adults don't drink at all. Another 30 percent consume, on average, less than one drink per week. On the other hand, the top 10 percent of American adults - 24 million of them - consume an average of 74 drinks per week, or a little more than 10 drinks per day. 0 drinks drinks 0 drinks 0.02 drinks i Fourth decile 0.14 drinks i Fifth decile 0.63 drinks 1 2.17 drinks 14①- 6.25 drinks 二ADH曼日-H 15.28 drinks 一A〇HH哑I AIDHWI-FDHW日I Bottom decile Second decile Third decile WASHINGTONPOST.COM/WONKBLOG Sixth decile Seventh decile Eighth decile Ninth decile Top decile Source: "Paying the Tab," by Philip J. Cook
Inflation-adjusted wages grew at the same pace from January 2023 through February 2026. Then they tanked.
Trump approval rating on various issues, with gas price approval TANKING
Now suppose that we were to cut gasoline taxes. If the price of gas at the pump were to fall, motorists would buy more gas. But there isn't any more gas, so the price at the pump, inclusive of the lowered tax, would quickly be bid right back up to the pre-tax-cut level. And that means that any cut in taxes would show up not in a lower price at the pump, but in a higher price paid to distributors. In other words, the benefits of the tax cut would flow not to consumers but to other parties, mainly the domestic oil refining industry. (As the textbooks will tell you, reducing the tax rate on an inelastically supplied good benefits the sellers, not the buyers.)
Line was really large in the 1980s then lower and lower and then super low following 2009 and then somewhat rebounded in 2023
Line go down then up again during civil war then down again then up again during ww1 then stable then up more during ww2 then way up during reagan then down and now up up up up. but stable if not for bush and trump tax cuts
Priscilla Alvarez @priscialva X.com White House Border Czar Tom Homan told a room filled with DHS officials and industry personnel that "mass deportations are coming." "You ain't seen shit yet," he said.
Poor bear meme with normal versus fancy, where the two are: "Haven't had the time to study this" "Beyond the scope of this paper
JUDICIARY CBP ICE DHS DOJ Ballroom Total Sec. 1 3.470 Sec. 2 30.725 Sec. 3 2.5 Sec. 4 1.457 Sec. 5 1 HSGAC Sec. 1 19.1 Sec. 2 7.45 Sec. 3 3.45 Sec. 4 2.5 Subtotal 26.020 38.175 5.000 1.457 1.000 Judiciary total 39.152 HSGAC total 32.500 Total DHS 69.195 Total 71.652
JUDICIARY CBP ICE DHS DOJ Ballroom Total Sec. 1 3.470 Sec. 2 30.725 Sec. 3 2.5 Sec. 4 1.457 Sec. 5 1 HSGAC Sec. 1 19.1 Sec. 2 7.45 Sec. 3 3.45 Sec. 4 2.5 Subtotal 26.020 38.175 5.000 1.457 1.000 Judiciary total 39.152 HSGAC total 32.500 Total DHS 69.195 Total 71.652
(1) Procurement and integration of new non21 intrusive inspection equipment and associated civil 22 works, including artificial intelligence, machine 23 learning, and other innovative technologies, as well 24 as other mission support, to combat the entry or exit 3 MDM26A11 FJV S.L.C. 1 of illicit narcotics at ports of entry and along the 2 southwest, northern, and maritime borders. 3 (2) Air and Marine operations’ upgrading and 4 procurement of new platforms for rapid air and ma5 rine response capabilities. 6 (3) Upgrades and procurement of border sur7 veillance technologies along the southwest, northern, 8 and maritime borders.
SEC. lll5. UNITED STATES SECRET SERVICE. 12 (a) APPROPRIATION.—In addition to amounts other13 wise available, there is appropriated to the United States 14 Secret Service, for fiscal year 2026, out of any money in 15 the Treasury not otherwise appropriated, $1,000,000,000, 16 to remain available until September 30, 2029, for the pur17 poses of security adjustments and upgrades, including 18 within the perimeter fence of the White House Compound 19 to support enhancements by the United States Secret 20 Service relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, 21 including above-ground and below-ground security fea22 tures. 23 (b) LIMITATION.—None of the funds made available 24 under this section may be used for non-security elements 25 of the East Wing Modernization Project. 6 MDM26A10 9PR S.L.C. 1 (c) DEFINITION.—In this section, the term ‘‘East 2 Wing Modernization Project’’ means the project with the 3 file number 8733 entitled ‘‘East Wing Modernization 4 Project’’ for which the preliminary and final site and 5 building plans were approved by the National Capital 6 Planning Commission on April 2, 2026.
soul nate @MNateShyamalan limewire: hotel california by the beastly boys 11 year old me [about to download yet another virus onto the family computer]: yep sounds good