Bradley Woodrum

@bradleywoodrum.com

1974 Followers 811 Following

Baseball analyst, economist, and writer. Current Baseball Prospectus writer, former FanGraphs writer, former Marlins analyst. Opinions are my own, but you may borrow them. I have friends everywhere. he/him YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BradleyWoodrum

A young man asks Liz Lemon: "So I'll pick you around 10?" Liz, incredulous: "At night?"
A GIF showing the change in run scoring over the course of the season for a selection of seasons ranging from the 1970s to the current season. The red 2026 line jump sharply at the end -- runs are being score more right now in the MLB at an uncommon rate.
Ronald Acuña Jr.: “Before my first game, a veteran came up to me and said, ‘Listen, kid. Don’t ever let an umpire show you what’s underneath his mask. It’ll drive you to madness.’ I thought he was kidding, but then, before my first at-bat, the umpire whispered, ‘Do you want to see?’ and there was smoke funneling out of his mask. I politely declined, but it really freaked me out. I didn’t sleep for a week.”
From the transcript for Arrested Development episode "Sad Sack": Wayne Jarvis: We’re going to get you, Bluth. We’ll give you a few minutes to think about what you want to do. [To Cho] He knows less than anyone we have ever questioned. Narrator: G.O.B. knew too little to know that, however, and his confidence had never been more shaken. And just when he thought he couldn’t handle another embarrassment...
A line chart timeseries graph that shows stolen base attempts per opportunity, as well as the highest and lowest rate teams in the league. Since the rule changes in 2023, teams have become increasingly more selecting about stolen base attempts.
A pair of area charts show the rates of bullpen usage in my Monte Carlo simulation. The team that works longer at bats (1 extra pitcher per at bat) is more frequently accessing long relievers in late innings.
A trio of bar graphs showing the distribution of result margins among playoff contenders, .500 teams, and losing teams. The big takeaway is that good teams win by large margins, but everyone has about equal qnatities of 1-run games.
A lady from "I Think You Should Leave" is scrolling through photos on a man's phone. She says, "It's all just screenshots of cigars."
A bar graph that shows the percentage of above average MLB hitters, grouped by their minor league OPS+. By far, they come from hitters with 130 OPS+ or better in the minors, and that group has produce a median 19 WARP.
There are two headlines on the homepage about eyes and visibility.
A line graph showing how Brice Turang's annual improvement puts him on an improbable pace.
A batter swings pathetically at a Mason Miller slider in the dirt. The pitch is so far from home plate, it would have bounced up and hit a left-handed batter on the knee.
A plot showing the top velocities for 2026 right-handed pitchers. Mason Miller is way ahead of the crowd.
A pair of geese, I think they're in love, go for a swim with their little goslings.
A plot showing total velocity added per month. Colored lines represent individual seasons, 2008, 2013, 2019, and 2025. Pitchers in 2008 added about 0.6 mph by the season end. In 2025, that number was closer to 0.3 mph.
Steve Carlton throws a pitch waaay outside and gets a strike called.
A lineup card showing Troy Johnston moving from RF to 1B back to RF then to LF in Today's Rockies game.
An image of the 1114 W Grace St location, showing the gate open with a parking attendant standing in front.
A plot showing a curved surface indicating league average Fastball% across the different ball-strike states. There are dots indicating the Fastball% for Yordan Alvarez, and it is apparent pitcher attacked him "backwards," throwing fastballs in pitcher counts and non-fastballs in hitter counts.
A 3d plot showing a green and yellow surface with dots above and below the surface. It demonstrates visually how Yusei Kikuchi pitches backwards, starting with non-fastballs, and working towards fastballs when ahead.
A screenshot of the article that notes how umpires have improved their strike-calling accuracy by almost 6 percentage points since 2009.
A pitch plot showing the locations against Okamoto in the at bat. The final pitch is highlighted with a red arrow. It is a sweeper low and away in what is essentially a perfect locaiton.
A 2015 to 2025 timeseries line chart that shows MLB home run run value (about 1.4 RV), doubles run value (about 0.8), and singles run value (about 0.5) as horizontal lines. A jagged black line representing Barrel run values start about at 0.9 and decline down to around the 0.8 mark where Doubles sit.
"Sure enough, Tillman gave Bush a Peanut Punch, knocking the ball out."
A vinyl copy of David Bowie's final album, Blackstar, sits on the record player.
A sicko watches from the window, excitedly muttering, "Yes... Ha ha ha... YES!"
Tracy Jordan grabs Kenneth's shoulders, saying, "I'm gonna take a nap. See you in the hours."
An older man is held a knifepoint. He says, "Call an ambulance." He then reveals a snub-nosed revolver and adds, "But not for me!"
A scatterplot showing the results of two major league equivalent models, with Kazuma Okomoto and Kensuke Kondoh both appearing in the upper right corner, suggesting good forecasts for MLB offensive production.
A scatterplot showing playoff bullpens since the year 2000 playoffs. The percentage of batters faced by relievers is on the x axis, and the y axis shows FIP-. There is a loose but real correlation between bullpen usage and effectiveness (FIP-). The years with the most-used bullpens are some of the worst years performance-wise.
A scatter plot showing NPB offensive projections, and Munataka Murakami rates well in one model, but not the one that considers performance versus high velocity pitchers.
A combination bar chart and line plot that shows how Japanese pitcher Takahiro Norimoto has gradually pitched fewer innings with steadily worse xFIP metrics relative to the league.
A crudely drawn time series plot that shows a curve of "Sample Size per Story." It starts very low during Spring Training, peaks right before the playoffs, then plumbers and stays low throughout the playoffs.
A highlighted block of text that reads: "One of the best things about [sports], in my opinion, is how they teach you to lose. So many people won’t put themselves into a situation where they can lose. Many more take the wrong message from the lesson that you should never lose. But sports are a vehicle to learn that you can do everything the right way, try something confidently and fairly, and still lose. You could even lose badly."
It's a screenshot of the literal doctor from Arrested Development.
A blurry screenshot of the Cubs-Athletics game on April 1st showing the outfield berm, where fans mill about on picnic blankets, wearing winter jackets and beanies. A bright red arrow tracks the trajectory of a home run ball that has bonked a person in the head. You can see their hands covering their head in pain.
A picture of a densely overgrown wooded area in southern Florida. Twisting tree trunks, covered in vines, intertwine with each other, and slivers of blue sky and white clouds poke through the canopy.
Team-level pitcher strikeout rates, compared to team wins, 2024 MLB season.