Ben Walker @bwalker.uk · Nov 14 The polls systemically understated Trump, but hardly a massive miss. www.newstatesman.com/internationa...
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Big drop in Dem support in Dem strongholds. H lost nearly 4 M votes in California and NY alone (relative to 2020). Some swing states H out-performed B (in total vote), including Wisconsin, Georgia and North Carolina. T's vote only increased 2.4%, H's dropped 10%. This was about Dem apathy.
As usual if we're honest. Looking at 538 website I was convinced a month before the election that Trump would win, polls underestimated his support in 2016 and 2020, and Harris was well behind Clinton. When they called a state a toss-up, I assumed Trump probably had a lead there. And so it proved.