Chris Smith @cjsmith.eu · Dec 3

We end up with a smaller posterior set of fair parameters. I use 841 as standard. I have reasons for choosing this number, which confused the hell out of a reviewer. You get these nice constrained projections that still incorporate uncertainty.

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Chris Smith · Dec 3

When you have this final posterior, you can go to town on running your own calibrated, constrained climate projections. Here are the SSPs run to 2200, with the historical climate and emissions updated to 2022 constraints.