Dean Booth 🦆🐇

@deanbooth.bsky.social

1835 Followers 1530 Following

Artist, Philosopher, History addict, Social Justice Worrier #BLM 🏳️‍⚧️ 🏳️‍🌈 🇺🇦 🇵🇸

Abstract The literature on American politics widely agrees that early victories in U.S. presidential primaries are pivotal for securing the nomination, a belief that underpins the front-loading behavior of states. However, demonstrating this success-breeds-success effect is challenging because unobserved candidate qualities could independently link early victories to later success. To address this, we used a regression-discontinuity design, focusing on variations near the victory threshold. Our analysis shows that conclusions about early states rely heavily on limited observations around the cutoff. If any inference is to be drawn, it is that winning in Iowa or New Hampshire has no lasting impact on subsequent contests, nor does winning on any election day affect outcomes on the next. These findings question the presence of momentum effects for winners in the primaries.
Butthead: DID I JUST SCORE?
"The victim came flying around on his bicycle. One officer tackled him off...Two other officers kind of rushed over, and one of the officers yells, "He has a knife. One of the officers then draws a taser and yells, 'Taser, taser, taser! He tasers him, [and the victim] falls to the ground," Doubek said. "The three continue to struggle for a second or two. Then, one of the officers stands just a couple feet above his head, shooting [the victim] three times to the head."
Elon Musk Zuck is a cuck y @elonmusk • 8h 15K t7 46.3K 321K Ill 18.3M Elon Musk @elonmusk • 38m I propose a literal dick measuring contest
Hillary Clinton @HillaryClinton "A man you can bait with a tweet is not a man we can trust with nuclear weapons." —Hillary 11:18 PM - Jul 28, 2016
Olive Garden sign: When you’re here you’re Family
12 images of babies in utero from early modern Europe
Hans Solo in Carbonite.
I was planning to send you my World for the New Year ... but I will tell you that, having made inquiries in that time at Leyden and at Amsterdam whether the System of the World of Galileo was not out, since I thought I had learned it was going to be printed in Italy last year, I learned that it was true it had been printed, but that all the copies had been burned at once in Rome and he had been condemned to some fine: which so astonished me, that I more or less resolved to burn all my papers, or at least not to let anyone see them. Because I could not imagine that he, an Italian, and in the Pope's good esteem, as I understand it, could have been criminalized for anything other than that he doubtless wanted to establish the movement of the earth ... and I confess that if it is false, all the foundations of my philosophy are too, since it follows clearly from them. And it is so linked with all the parts of my treatise, that I would not know how to detach it without rendering the rest defective. But since I would not for anything in the world want to put forth a discourse, in which the least word could be disapproved by the Church, I prefer to suppress it, then to let it appear in crippled form. Source: The Restless Clock: A History of the Centuries-Long Argument over What Makes Living Things Tick by Jessica Riskin
From Godfather III, Don Corleone meets the man who killed his father
Kristy in bed with a shoe: GIMME A KISS, BABY. NO TONGUE.
A man being hauled away by demons
A miniature baby inside a sperm (preformationism)
12 images of babies in utero from early modern Europe.
A medieval woman raises her hammer above a baby on an anvil. A pile of babies lie beside the anvil.
A medieval man works a bellows in a fire over a flask containing a tiny baby.
Giant toothed worm eating a man’s head
Blow up man costumes for kids
Sign: THEATRE ENTRANCE PUPPET SHOW AND SPINAL TAP
Mamdani on Fox with the chyron MAMDANI PARTIES WITH INMATES
Grimey Grimes grabs high voltage wires.
From Simpsons: baseball player pelted with pretzels
U.S. LGBTQ+ Travel Caution Map Where gay and trans travelers may want extra caution
REN and Stimpy drooling
Trump: I DON’T TAKE RESPONSIBILITY AT ALL.
Bead bracelet with beads L W Y M M D
Woman in a bandana that covers her forehead
Smoky day in Boston.
"The guy's a war criminal," Andrew Duggins, a former Army captain who served with Lorance in the same unit of the 82nd Airborne Division at the time and who read sworn statements of Lorance's platoonmates made immediately after the mission. "It's clear cut, and it shouldn't be a partisan issue for Clint to be in jail for his full sentence. He was a bully and he was scared." "It was a nasty deployment," Duggins added when told of the pardon on Friday. "That company had taken a number of casualties, and Clint's attitude was, 'I'm just going to go out there guns blazing and make a statement.' He was scared to go out and do missions, and this was one of his very first missions. Privates came back from that mission in tears because they were shocked. They knew how wrong it was, and they knew that he had given an illegal order."
Vance: "I think it's important because... The rules were that you guys weren't going to fact check and since you're fact checking me, I think it's important to say what's actually going on."
The Tick’s sidekick Arthur spreading his wings
Joe McCarthy holds up a list of 205 communists in government. He later lost the list.
A snake wearing Melania’s hat
UNITED STATES SHOWS THE LOWEST INFLATION AMONGST THE G7 UNDER THE BIDEN-HARRIS ADMINISTRATION
Trump joins in the dancing madness
Poster for: Mr. Nobody Against Putin
Halloween costumes based on the Simpsons "THE DUD INCLUDES: YOU GOT THE DUD POINDEXTER."
Scene from The Godfather: "You should let me wet my beak a little." -Don Fanucci
From the movie They Live, a man puts on glasses to see a billboard saying OBEY
Headline: Ben Carson Defends Himself Against Allegations That He Never Attempted to Murder a Child
A man being dragged away by demons from the movie Ghost
Headline: Pennsylvania woman finds 3.09-carat white diamond at state park in Arkansas
Johnny Carson as Carnac the Magnificent
Johnny Carson as Carnac the Magnificent
A baby sandwich from the simpsons
God in the clouds: DRIZZLE DRAZZLE DRUZZLE DROME TIME FOR THIS ONE TO COME HOME!
Woody Allen holds the leader’s nose at gunpoint.
Screenshot of mgoogle maps to my friend’s house — all green
Starting a fire with a stick and bow
Dorothy taps her ruby slippers together.
Roger Stone Nixon tattoo on his back.
Bob Newhart doing his phone routine.
Twilight Zone: A boy talking to his dead grandma on a toy phone.
Everyone gets a puppy, 49%. Everyone gets diarrhea forever, 51%.
Skeleton in bed with phone
Obama-style poster of Musk with the caption MURDERER
A skeleton in bed holding a cellphone.