@doomsdaydebunks.bsky.social

@doomsdaydebunks.bsky.social

758 Followers 22 Following

Hantaviruses have a very low level of human to human transmission potentially very serious but prompt treatment in ICU is life saving This care is to avoid the risk of even one extra case - like for Ebola Not because of any concerns of an epidemic or pandemic
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Trump trying to dig a hole in the sea with a shovel This is how futile the blockade is Anyone with in-depth knowledge of Iran would tell Trump that Iran’s view that it has a fundamental right for enrichment is pervasive across all of the Iranian political spectrum, from the most reformist to the most hard right. Iran CAN’T GO HOME WITH A DEAL WITH ZERO ENRICHMENT. It is their final offer Iran CAN OFFER ZERO STOCKPILES WHICH ENSURES NO NUKES EVER. With the blockade, Trump is trying to pressure the Iranians to change something they can’t change. It’s as futile as trying to dig a hole in water with a spade or bucket. No matter how much you try to shovel it out the hole will immediately fill up again.
Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks. This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE! The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East. We received a 10 point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate. Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and consummated. On behalf of the United States of America, as President, and also representing the Countries of the Middle East, it is an Honor to have this Longterm problem close to resolution. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
But wait, some may argue, doesn't the statute merely repeat the language of the Fourteenth Amendment? ... Yes it is the same language, but the public meaning of the statute, when enacted, need not have been the same as the public meaning of the earlier-adopted constitutional provision. ... that interpretation would be entitled to statutory stare decisis ... even if one were to believe ... that Congress has the power to narrow the scope of birthright citizenship through legislation. ... What this means is that the Court could simply hold that the Executive Order conflicts with the longstanding interpretation of 8 U.S.C. 1401(a) and defer to another day whether Congress could enact legislation adopting a narrower rule.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC How Trump got his deal after 13 months of threats - he could have got it on day 1 with a friendly handshake Mafia boss: “Give me what I want now!” Store keeper: “Please don’t trash my store, what do you want?” Mafia boss: “A kilogram of carrots. I will pay the full price for it”. Store keeper: “What? For sure, here you are”.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC A handful of U.S. Marines taking over police duties in each village of 20-200 citizens? U.S. gunboats keeping container ships from bringing in consumer goods from Denmark? A CIA operative forcing the prime minister to sign a declaration of allegiance to President Trump at gunpoint? Ulrich Gad, at Danish Institute for International Studies This is where the parliament of Greenland meets To take over Greenland against its wishes, Trump has to occupy this parliament building. Militarily simple, no defences. Politically impossible EVERYONE in the operation would end up with criminal charges in US courts Also unconstitutional by the Supremacy of treaties (Article VI clause 2)
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Churchill and Zelensky both led democracies at a time when elections were impossible Vlodmir Zelensky President from 2019 to 2025 (so far) 5 year term ended in 2024 Term is AUTOMATICALLY extended in war time by the Ukrainian constitution. Elections currently are impossible. Will hold elections if Trump finds a way to do it. Winston Churchill Prime minister of the UK from 1940 to 1945 during WW2. AFTER the end of the 1935–1940 five year term elections repeatedly postponed by one year because it was impossible to vote in war time Zelensky video from his office in Kyiv in March 2022 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-europe-60659029 Churchill as Prime Minister 1940 - 1945 https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Winston_Churchill_As_Prime_Minister_1940-1945_MH26392.jpg
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Trump: GIVE THE MOON TO PUTIN Zelensky: BUT THAT’S NOT MINE TO GIVE! Satire (Under the Outer Space Treaty nobody can own the Moon) Zelensky can’t modify the NATO treaty or the Ukrainian Constitution or give Ukrainian territory to anyone. Trump has given him 7 days to do all three - this is NOT a serious peace plan.”
TEXT ON GRAPHIC ... we are so extraordinarily strong compared to our principal threat Russia. ... the question which is difficult to answer in public [because it is classified information] ... if we were to get into a war with Russia, how quickly could we get control of the air? And again that ability to have control of the sea for NATO is phenomenal. And then the land forces. ... no longer a NATO that thinks if Russia was to ... gain a piece of territory, how do we then fight to get that territory back? It’s a NATO that sees the risk of territory being invaded and how quickly can it get its land forces in there to block any risk of aggression and territory being grabbed. ... I feel incredibly confident that that’s what NATO’s got and that’s how NATO can keep its citizens safe. And it’s the overmatch that deters Russia. And I have never been clearer than any time in my career about the success that NATO is having in deterring Russia. Russia does not want to fight with NATO and Russia does not want a nuclear war and we should be really confident of that. Admiral Radakin - June 12, 2025 Chief of UK defence staff at the time (now retired)
White text (left side): Outcome: Poland and allies will just shoot down any Russian drones in their skies as they would have from day 1 of an ordinary war and the war continues as before. Yellow text (top center): This plastic fuel tank is only needed for Poland White text (bottom): Zelensky also says it is clear from the flight path that it was deliberate - he would know if deflected by EW. Blue text (right side): Normal for neighbours to a war to shoot down stray drones in their skies - bizarre not to
TEXT ON GRAPHIC The Ukraine war isn't that important to Putin or to Russians. For most Russians it is a distant war. They want Russia to win - but by that all they mean is they want Putin to tell them they won. They don't really know why they are fighting. So Putin can end this war tomorrow and just tell his people he won. Occupied region 19% of Ukraine <1% of Russia (0.65%) Zelensky talks about it every day trying to end the war Putin gives many speeches often hours long - but almost never mentions the war. Russia occupies nearly a fifth of Ukraine and has taken 1% of it since fall 2022 Ukraine 603,628 km², Russia occupies 115,400 km², 19% Russia 17.125 million km², occupied area is <1% of Russia (0.65%)
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Lots of smiles and flowery talk but this is not like NATO Very little in common - some shared goals but even economically and politically a lot of rivalry and trying to get the better of each other No intelligence sharing between Russia, China, North Korea or Iran Nobody helped Iran when Israel took over its skies China got its Russian technology from Ukraine not Russia. China will NOT supply Russia in this war with anything except gray area chips, drones and machine tools Ignore hype about a new “axis” These are NOT allies or even particularly friendly They do NOT trust each other and do NOT share intelligence or military secrets or advanced technology with each other except NK and Russia in a VERY LIMITED WAY. China does NOT share this equipment with Russia or North Korea China used to supply Iran but NOT since 2005 China DOES supply Pakistan
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Some shifts in Putin's language that may or may not mean something:Putin:Nevertheless, if common sense ultimately prevails, an acceptable option for ending this conflict can be agreed upon. I operate on this belief. All the more so, since we see the commitment and sincere desire of the current US administration led by President Trump to find a solution, not just to issue appeals.I think there is light at the end of the tunnel. We will see how it goes from here. If not, we will have to achieve the tasks set before us by military means.http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/77914 New - Putin sees light at the end of the tunnel (ceasefire?) Not new - Putin has used military means for 3.5 years
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Emerging multipolar world for second half of this century North America - decreasing Europe - decreasing Russia - decreasing and far less than Soviet Union East Asia - increasing South Asia - increasing Southeast Asia - increasing Sub-Saharan Africa - increasing Latin America - increasing Possible future world powers: US, Western Europe, Russia, China, Indonesia, Nigeria, Brazil, Mexico, India May lead to a more equitable fairer world long term. Fairer for: medicines, agriculture, energy technology... GeoCurrents Map Emerging markets will dominate the world's top 10 economies in 2050 (GDP at PPPs): 2016 2050 China 1 China US 2 India India 3 US Japan 4 Indonesia Germany 5 Brazil Russia 6 Russia Brazil 7 Mexico Indonesia 8 Japan UK 9 Germany France 10 UK G7 economies E7 economies Vietnam, the Philippines and Nigeria could make the greatest moves up the rankings 2050 2016 Vietnam 20th up 12 places 32nd Philippines 19th up 9 places 28th Nigeria 14th up 8 places 22nd ...
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Closest military strategic partners of India: Russia (score: 62) United States (score: 58) France (score: 51) United Kingdom (score: 41) Germany (score: 37) Japan (score: 34) China is not a strategic partner AT ALL even weakly Countries that have a strategic relationship with India Closest relationship in purple It has no formal allies but lots of relationships Major exceptions: China and Pakistan
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Ukrainian visions of the end of the war Fight for Donbas and Crimea 20% Fight to the Feb 12 border 13% Other or no response 8% Stop fighting and search for compromise 59% (This is what Zelensky calls for)
TEXT ON GRAPHIC Security discussions continue – perhaps because of impractical suggestions like this one Normal to take a lot of talk and many proposals to stop a war One of many proposals More practical proposal is to just create buffer zone BOTH SIDES of contact line Unorthodox proposal for Ukraine to withdraw to create buffer zone Concedes nearly 3% Total distance: 384.56 km (238.96 mi) [rough estimate, line of contact is likely far more adding indentations] Why the buffer region must have BOTH sides retreat: 400 * 40 = 1,600 km2 = 2.7%, nearly 3% of land area of Ukraine. It is legally impossible for Zelensky to give up nearly 3% without a referendum Meloni's plan is current top favorite: 1. sanctions snap back within 24 hours of a new invasion 2. sea and air patrols symbolic - Ukraine does any fighting 3. equipment and logistic support also within 24 hours But takes time for 30+ countries to agree to anything – then need to interest Russia
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Steve Witkof thought this was a definiteburger Image: a burger bun with nothing inside, labeled “NOTHINGBURGER” Trump has managed to turn it into a possibleburger Image: a burger with some ingredients, labeled “POSSIBLEBURGER” He wants to see if Putin, Europe and Zelensky can turn it into a definiteburger Image: a burger with full toppings, labeled “DEFINITEBURGER” Trump seems to be holding off the severe sanctions until he can figure out if Putin's nothingburger which he turned into a possible burger is a definiteburger - will want an answer quickly - Europe's reactions tomorrow Graphics made with Bing Copilot
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Anchorage, Alaska Ukraine's best chance for an end to fighting by far since the war started Trump working closely with Europe and Ukraine, rates the video conversation on 13th as a 10 and echoes Ukraine talking points If Russia does stop fighting technically very hard to invade again over drone patrolled front line once Ukraine has time to beef it up some more Main possibilities: * Ceasefire in sight, Putin and Zelensky meet soon after * Positive but not a full ceasefire * War continues with increased financial sanctions on Russia. Why it might work * Russian Oligarch - he cares about money * US businessman used to making financial deals Trump and Putin in 2019 Trump - Putin summit: Starts: 11:00 AM Alaska (3:00 PM EST), 8:00 PM in UK Briefing ends: 5:45 PM AKDT (9:45 PM EST), 2:45 AM in UK Press (?): 5 PM+ Alaska (9 PM EST) 2 AM+ UK Europe: cautiously optimistic Trump: 3 chances in 4 of success (ceasefire) Russia: Sent top brass including 3 economy experts and all pre-meeting statements positive nothing derogatory or aggressive
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Ukrainian views on a peace treaty that cedes land to Russia - any treaty must be approved in a referendum by a majority vote under Ukrainian law Based on poll results by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology Legend: * Hard to say * Categorically against territorial losses * Territorial losses can be accepted Bar chart labels (left to right): Official recognition of occupation * 68% Categorically against territorial losses * 24% Territorial losses can be accepted * 8% Hard to say Transfer of unoccupied territories to Russia * 78% Categorically against territorial losses * 15% Territorial losses can be accepted * 8% Hard to say De facto recognition of occupation without de jure * 48% Categorically against territorial losses * 43% Territorial losses can be accepted * 9% Hard to say Text inside right column bar (de facto recognition): Only kind of treaty that has any chance of success Explanatory text at the bottom: De facto here means an agreement similar to the agreement between East Germany and the Soviet Union Agreement to stop fighting and to resort to peaceful negotiation only In practice means the territory remains in Russian control indefinitely but Ukraine aspires to return it eventually through peaceful negotiation with future Russian governments
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Putin: no response • TASS (controlled by Putin): Trump says he will impose the sanctions even if they don’t have any effect • Peskov, his spokesperson, said: "I would like to avoid any assessments." • Putin says nothing Medvedev is a paper tiger • Medvedev is a paper tiger - does NOT have any access to nukes as ex president • He makes bizarre nuclear threats many times a year. Also known for fondness for vodka and some of his tweets may be written while drunk. • Medvedev has been doing this since the war started - this is from May 2023 • You can ALWAYS safely ignore Medvedev And Trump's nuclear subs "order" is just meaningless words - two days to cross the Atlantic and would be in all major seas already - nothing in his tweet of any interest to Russia
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Child: I want to know if we risk a tsunami. Adult: I can help! Child: Do you know anything about tsunamis? Adult: No but I did a comic strip about a tsunami dream Sarcasm - DOES NOT WORK, Geologists do not use dreams or draw manga comic strips to predict earthquakes or tsunamis It DOES NOT WORK Japan has a tsunami about once a year and dreams make NO DIFFERENCE to this risk.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Child: I want to know if we risk a tsunami. Adult: I can help! Child: Do you know anything about tsunamis? Adult: No but I did a comic strip about a tsunami drean, Geologists do not use dreams or draw manga comic strips to predict earthquakes or tsunamis It DOES NOT WORK Japan has a tsunami about once a year and dreams make NO DIFFERENCE to this risk.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Lisa Desjardins @LisaDNews · 57m And we are down to 8 Rs who haven't voted: Brecheen Burchett Burlison Cloud Harris Onder Perry Roy ON AGREEING TO THE RESOLUTION, AS AMENDED H RES 566 REPUBLICAN YEA 207 NAY 5 NV 8 DEMOCRATIC NAY 212 TOTALS YEA 207 NAY 217 NV 8 TIME REMAINING 0:00 Vote on rules 5 Republicans voted against 8 Republicans not voting Short by 10 votes Essential step before the House can vote on Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" This means the House is not ready to vote increases chance of amendments to take back to Senate also more time for the electorate and their representative to think through the bill and perhaps decide against it Lisa Desjardins @LisaDNews · 50m It is a stand off. Politics & Poll Tracker @PoliTracker2024 · Mike Johnson on Hannity just now: "I'll keep the vote open for as long as it takes!" Johnson is keeping vote open but it is a stand off
Child: I am looking for someone to teach me geology Adult: I can teach you! Child: Do you study geology? Adult: No but I had a dream about a volcano.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: 2 Republicans already have voted against Trump's Big Beautiful Bill and one abstained Andy Harris says he will vote against this time. 1 more vote against and it fails Trump threatens to primary Massie unless he changes his vote, but Massie is undeterred Elon Musk will donate to Massie primary Tower shield used as barrier by 3rd century BC Chinese soldiers Halbard - type of axe used in battle in China in 3rd century BC Massie’s face superimposed on shield Trumps face superimposed on halbard A tough bill to pass - if it does get through, much may be removed QUOTE: Once there was a man of Ch`u selling shields and halberds. In praising his shields he said, "My shields are so solid that nothing can penetrate them." Again, in praising his halberds, he said, "My halberds are so sharp that they can penetrate anything." In response to his words somebody asked, "How about using your halberds to pierce through your shields?" To this the man could not give any reply. Indeed, impenetrable shields and absolutely penetrative halberds cannot stand together at the same time. Han Feizi Ch. 36, 3rd century BCE China
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Mockup - proposal for social media companies On the left, "Social feed" panel with three stacked posts, each featuring a photograph of a wind surfer riding waves on a sunny day. Each post includes icons for likes, comments, and shares. To the right, a "Custom" filter panel with a vertical list of checkboxes for different content categories. Only "Please show me photographs of colourful birds and check to make sure they are not AI generated" and "Wind surfing" are checked; all other options, such as "News and analysis," "Personal news from family and friends," "Astronomy," "Flora and fauna," "Conservation," "Anime," "Computer games," "Table tennis," "Gardening," and "Music (genre)" are unchecked. The list extends out of view, suggesting more options are available. Blue text to the right and below explains: Text next to the check boxes editable * used as instructions for chatbot to curate feed * can check or uncheck as many as you like * In this way can configure your feed as you like when you like Option to switch between lists like this for: * research * news * recreation etc Idea for a way to make social media far better for mental health, while also increasing engagement of the right sort for the companies hosting them. * fun and much more productive and enjoyable to use.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Mockup - proposal for social media companies On the left, "Social feed" panel with three stacked posts, each featuring a photograph of a wind surfer riding waves on a sunny day. Each post includes icons for likes, comments, and shares. To the right, a "Custom" filter panel with a vertical list of checkboxes for different content categories. Only "Please show me photographs of colourful birds and check to make sure they are not AI generated" and "Wind surfing" are checked; all other options, such as "News and analysis," "Personal news from family and friends," "Astronomy," "Flora and fauna," "Conservation," "Anime," "Computer games," "Table tennis," "Gardening," and "Music (genre)" are unchecked. The list extends out of view, suggesting more options are available. Blue text to the right and below explains: Text next to the check boxes editable used as instructions for chatbot to curate feed can check or uncheck as many as you like In this way can configure your feed as you like when you like Option to switch between lists like this for: research news recreation etc Idea for a way to make social media far better for mental health, while also increasing engagement of the right sort for the companies hosting them. fun and much more productive and enjoyable to use.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: CROSSED OUT IN RED: How long before Trump asks SCOTUS to cancel the 2026 midterms? 4:56 AM · Jun 29, 2025 · 21.8K Views Trump can't cancel midterms with an unconstitutional EO. And they will! … It’s the plan, no doubt. One of numerous such conversations FACT CHECK TO THE RIGHT IN BLUE TEXT Elections are done by states not the Federal government Even if Republican governors implausibly tried to stop their own midterm elections State enforcement officers have only qualified immunity for reasonable but mistaken decisions about open legal questions The Federal officers that will enforce the new requirements on parents if the illegal Birthright Citizenship EO goes ahead have broad immunity under the Bivens Supreme Court case even so many are likely to refuse to follow Trump’s orders because it betrays their oath of office to protect the US constitution Background - a typical conversation online - I have blurred the names to protect the people concerned from special attention - you can find many other such conversations on X.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Babies of undocumented immigrants or other non citizen residents in the 22 yellow states will still be automatically recognized as US citizens at birth. Once citizenship "switches on" it likely stays on. Babies born in other states likely get their citizenship "switched on" at some point after travelling to those states May have solution for other states: emergency certification of putative class. - VERY FAST like an injunction. May be resolved with class actions. If not, sure to be organizations that pay for undocumented mothers to travel to "safe" states to register their babies as citizens. Even in the gray states the justices can issue an injunction for a putative class of all the undocumented immigrant babies - but some districts may not recognize it. Yellow: States with automatic birthright citizenship (22 states) Gray: Other states
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Babies born in these 22 states will have automatic birthright citizenship Once citizenship "switches on" it likely stays on. Babies born in other states likely get their citizenship "switched on" at some point after travelling to those states Could be solved with class action workaround May be resolved with class actions. If not, sure to be organizations that pay for undocumented mothers to travel to "safe" states to register their babies as citizens. Even in the gray states the justices can issue an injunction for a putative class of all the undocumented immigrant babies - but some districts may not recognize it. Yellow: States with automatic birthright citizenship (22 states) Gray: Other states
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Facebook glitch has suddenly suspended or disabled thousands of groups on June 24-5 Group disabled and no way to ask for a review Reddit community says just wait - if you ask for a review it makes it worse. You are not blocked or banned, the group is just disabled
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: UPDATE - Iran did do a minor violation - one extra strike just after the deadline, no surprise - Israel sent a wave of pilots towards Iran but Trump says they will return without dropping the bombs Israel say the Iranians did one extra strike beyond their deadline. More likely a commander got the timing wrong or was confused about the terms or was out of communication. Even with 6 hours before the ceasefire remember that Iran was under attack so the communications links could be damage, interconnection lost in places, and there might well be commanders ordered to keep silent to avoid detection. Iran deny it happened. Trump says Israel has agreed to return its pilots without dropping their bombs TRUMP: ISRAEL is not going to attack Iran. All planes will turn around and head home, while doing a friendly “Plane Wave” to Iran. Nobody will be hurt, the Ceasefire is in effect! Thank you for your attention to this matter! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES ISRAEL. DO NOT DROP THOSE BOMBS. IF YOU DO IT IS A MAJOR VIOLATION. BRING YOUR PILOTS HOME, NOW! DONALD J. TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES https://robertinventor.substack.com/p/conflict-between-israel-and-iran/comment/128866634
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Why you are safe after the US strike on Iran nobody will support Iran - and Iran can't do anything Far less risk than for Trumps 2018 attack on a Syrian chemical weapons factory** US dropped 6 bunker buster bombs on the same spot Secret underground facility in desert No risk to Iranian civilians US Fordo mission Secret facility is 80 to 100 meters below the ground (260 to 330 feet) No radiation hazard (visited by IAEA atomic inspectors) Russia and China refused to sell Iran fighter jets or air defences against F-16s Never mind B-2s, Iran's air defences are gone. No defence pact or nuclear umbrella with Russia. Trump must have dropped the bunker buster bombs from the B-2 bomber's maximum altitude of 15 kilometers for maximum penetration. Russia and China have done NOTHING to help protect Iran from F-16s and will NOT protect it from B-2s. The Israelis report no Iranian ballistic missile strikes on Israel for 24 hours US bases have extensive Patriot air defences, also THAAD and marine air defences Less risk than for the attacks on the chemical weapons factory in Syria in his first term - Iran's air defences are gone and a manpad has no chance. In this diagram Person A and Person B are second cousins three times removed of each other Trump is extraordinarily risk averse - with his pledge of no new foreign wars, if just one American soldier or civilian is killed in reprisals everyone they know will be on US TV, even [comic exaggeration / hyperbole] their second cousin three times removed might be on TV about it 😜 Trump would not have authorized this unless he thought the risk to US citizens was 0%
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: The idea of Iran fighting the world in a global war makes NO SENSE How can this "spiral out of control"? It can't Trump may be bluffing, with main aim to encourage Iran to negotiate, but if he does bomb Iran - it still CAN'T become a larger war - because it is so one sided with nobody going to help Iran Israel has air control over Tehran This means Iran's own fighter jets can no longer fly over its own capital city * Iran has a few hundred ballistic missiles that can reach Israel. * They can't reach Israel from the furthest away part of Iran. * Only a mutual non aggression pact with Russia. * No possibility of either army reaching the other on the ground. * Nor can either army fight in the sea, only air strikes
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Mainland US is at no risk of being attacked by ANY Middle East countries - and Russia and China would NOT get involved. Nobody in the Middle East opposed to the US or Israel is able to fire weapons to another continent. The longest range Iranian missile is 2000 km. It needs most of the range to reach Israel. Its diesel subs and three frigates are no threat to the US or Europe and its military planes can't get there either. Why there is NO RISK EVER of a world war from yet one more conflict in the Middle East of many (basic geography few seem to know on social media) Shortest distance from Iran to USA 8,400+ km. Iran can't shoot further than here (2000 km) Iran is NOT able to attack the US US often fights in the Middle East - e.g. Iraq, Gulf war, Syria etc. NONE OF THESE COUNTRIES CAN EVER HIT THE US. Russia is resolutely neutral on Israel / Iran - it only agrees not to supply Israel with missiles to attack Iran. This time the US is not even supporting Israel Iran with its 3 frigates and a few diesel subs CANNOT REALISTICALLY TAKE ON THE WORLD IN A WORLD WAR and won't try. Iran needs its 2000 km missiles just to hit Israel, closest point 1000 km Iran and Israel are 1000 km away at their closest
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Why there is absolutely no possibility of the US being hit as a result of ANYTHING that goes on in the Middle East. Israel has invaded Lebanon several times including in 2006. The US is not likely to get involved except shooting incoming missiles.i Nobody in the Middle East opposed to the US or Israel is even able to fire weapons to another continent. The longest range of the Iranian missiles is 2000 km. They need most of that range just to reach Israel from Iran. An intercontinental missile is 5,500 km. The shortest distance from Iran to the US is far more even than that. Why there is NO RISK EVER of a world war from yet one more conflict in the Middle East of many (basic geography few seem to know on social media). Shortest distance from Iran to USA 8,400+ km. Maximum range for Iran's missiles:2000 km. Iran is NOT able to attack the US. The US has been involved in many conflicts in the Middle East including its invasion of Iraq and the Gulf war. These do NOT lead to world wars and CAN’T. Russia: neutral to Israel and Hezbollah / Hamas China: no interest in Israel just oil from Middle East Israel: neutral to Russia and Ukraine. This time the US is NOT involved except to protect Israel from incoming missiles. Israel and Iran do NOT want to fight each other either - both trying to give an appearance of strength without provoking an increase in conflict.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Russia’s bombers were fueled up and ready to fly to launch probably over 100 cruise missiles at Ukraine at once, largest attack of the war. Ukraine blew up these bombers before they could fly. No allied intelligence needed - these bombers are too big for aircraft hangars and obvious in google maps. There could hardly be a clearer example of a DEFENSIVE action fully justified by the Law of War under the UN charter and international treaties. Ukraine found the bombers by flying its own drones to the air field. How Ukraine found the bombers - flying their own drones using open source sofware (ArduPilot Mission Planner). Easy to see from the air as they are too large to fit into an aircraft hangar. Ukaine used NO ALLIED SUPPLIED EQUIPMENT Yes these were strategic bombers that fire nukes - but they ALSO fire CONVENTIONAL warheads from the SAME CRUISE MISSILES - the destroyed bombers fired 3000 CRUISE MISSILES at Ukraien before they were destroyed. Easy to see. Stopped “operation Zeus lightning” loaded and ready to fire at Ukraine to intimidate its peace negotiators. Loaded with Kh101 cruise missiles. Big fire because it is fueled, ready to fly.
In theory, the PLA might land as few as 300,000 to 400,000 soldiers, for example if the Taiwanese president was killed or captured prior to Z-Day and armed resistance crumbled ... if the Taiwanese government survived ... the PLA might have to send over 2 million troops to Taiwan Assuming Taiwan had 450,000 defenders, the PLA general in charge would therefore want to have at least 1.35 million men, but probably more like 2.25 million ... If the PLA ground force was a million or more men, then we might expect an armada of thousands or even tens of thousands of ships to deliver them.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Nothing the ordinary person will notice. Authorities notified to take precautions. There is never anything to be scared about solar storms Worst case is localized short term powercuts but highly unlikely. The grid is far more resilient than for the 8 hour power cut in Quebec in 1989.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: China has NEVER AIMED FOR AN OVERSEAS EMPIRE - its global aim is economic and political It: - invaded nowhere this century - has no historical overseas bases NOT a country that can fight a global war. - has only one overseas military base today China's population is already well over a billion - longest land border of any country - has separatist groups internally Looking for - partners and soft power - not more countries to try to rule China occupies almost all its historical empire. Main territorial interests South China sea and Taiwan. Can't really invade Taiwan (like 10 D-days) No combat experience in a war with 21st century weapons. Djibouti - China's only overseas base 1,000 Chinese soldiers in Djibouti 5,530 other soldiers (US, France, Japan, Italy) China can't fight major wars globally.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Remember anyone can make up anything online. Check reliable sources. Do NOT share and watch out for fakes like this. Even Congress can't keep Trump in power after 20th Jan 2029. The date is in the US Constitution. Most of this is made up, some impossible. Two things in the list have a vague resemblance to the truth which is: Bill tries to scrub ALL the universal injunctions in force and require new ones to be paid for (though judges would likely set them at $1) - can't do by Byrd rule, no significant effect on budget, also likely unconstitutional. Stops use of MEDICAD for transgender gender affirming therapy in adults - likely illegal / unconstitutional.
TEXT ON GRAPHIC: Polling and final result trend for Romanian presidential runoff (Simion vs Dan) Dan, centrist 54%. Simion, far right 46% All polls are for Dan / Simion runoff First poll hypothetical before we knew who would be the run-off candidates.