Hyde T. Voltyge

@hydevoltyge.bsky.social

807 Followers 251 Following

he/him Virginian Wikipedia enthusiast I still support marginalized communities I have only contempt for transphobes vegan ace

Map of Virginia with the Urban Crescent roughly highlighted. It extends from the border of DC down through Fredericksburg into Richmond and then curves southeast through the urbanized core of Hampton Roads. The map also shows how stark the lack of major cities outside this region is, with only (east to west) Winchester, Charlottesville, Harrisonburg, Lynchburg, Danville, Roanoke, Blacksburg, and Radford (? maybe Christiansburg, scale is very small and there's no label)
Blueprint Polling Keohokalole internal HI-01 278 LV July 24 Keohokalole 47% - Case 38%
co/efficient OH-07 RV?: July 30-August 6 Poindexter 44% - Miller 39% 615 LV: August 5-6 Poindexter 47% - Miller 33%
Zogby, 1000 LV, August 4-5 51 D - 40 R GCB
My draft post, quoting the account that blocked me "An unhinged screed about someone good and correct being an informant on his social circles??? And also that he's violently antisemitic (wrong). Calls AIPAC "A Jewish Super PAC"
Al-Jazeera reporting on the MI-SEN race describing a passage on the Haley Stevens campaign website "Despite appearing to distance herself from the spending on behalf of her campaign, a section on Stevens’ website labelled “media” seems to provide talking points for ads by AIPAC and PACs. “Black Democratic primary voters statewide should read and see in their mailboxes and on YouTube how Haley served as chief of staff to President [Barack] Obama’s auto rescue,” it reads."
Iowa polls by Emerson for Nexstar. Senate: Hinson (R) 48% - Turek (D) 45% Gov: Lang (R) 43% - Sand (D) 48% (but +6?) August 2-4 712 LV
Quantus Insights 1,048 LV, August 3-4 49% D - 43% R GCB
Praise for X edit In 2025, Penn praised Twitter (officially known as X) as a "a revived and increasingly vibrant platform".[81] Polling Americans on their perspectives around vaccines edit As of September 2025, the Department of Health and Human Services is preparing to issue a no-bid contract to the polling firm HarrisX, which is part of Stagwell, a marketing company led by Penn. The poll will seek to "understand Americans' perspectives around vaccines and drivers of trust in making vaccine decisions".[82]
AIPAC congratulates the 30 pro-Israel candidates who won their primaries in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington. With these victories, more than 215 AIPAC-backed candidates from both parties have now advanced to the November general election this cycle. In Michigan, AIPAC members were proud to stand with Governor Whitmer, Senator Peters, former Senator Stabenow, former Governor Granholm, Attorney General Dana Nessel, and the many others who supported Haley Stevens in the Senate primary, helping her fight for an authentic Democratic agenda for Michigan. Our members remain determined to ensure that voters reject Dr. El-Sayed and his radical anti-Israel agenda in November. In Missouri's First District, AIPAC congratulates Congressman Wesley Bell on defeating former Representative Cori Bush for the second time. AIPAC members and United Democracy Project were proud to support Bell, a serious, thoughtful leader who delivers for his constituents. In Congress and throughout the race, Bush demonized AIPAC's members, attacked Israel, and refused to condemn Hamas terrorism—and voters made sure she did not make it back to Congress. In Michigan's 11th District, Haley Stevens' open seat, the pro-Israel community was proud to support State Senator Jeremy Moss in his win over two anti-Israel detractors. Would-be Squad member Aisha Farooqi, who accused Israel of "genocide," called for cutting off all aid to Israel, and disparaged AIPAC members, and Don Ufford, who worked to smear pro-Israel Democrats, both lost—leaving pro-Israel leadership in place as Moss succeeds Stevens in this safe Democratic seat. While disappointed that some of our AIPAC-backed candidates did not prevail, our community is proud to support pro-Israel Democrats and Republicans who stand for our values, and we are encouraged that voters in races across this primary season continue to broadly choose leaders who support a strong U.S.-Israel partnership. Had to leave the rest off. Sorry
Finance reports for US Senate race in Virginia as of July 15. Warner (D) raised $25.1M, spent $9.4M, has $16.1M Bert Mizusawa (R) raised $377,213, spent $323,248... has $52,964.
Dem spam email of Abdul El-Sayed officially introducing himself as the nominee for MI-SEN.
AP called MI-13 for Donovan McKinney
McKinney - Thanedar race. 51.4 - 48.5. "27% of votes in"
Mallory McMorrow endorsement of Abdul
Vichy Twitter by reader. Comments talking about Kornacki struggling to find Stevens votes remaining.
84% Black Benton Harbor was 56-37-7
New UMich estimate is 50 Abdul - 48 Haley with conservative estimates for Abdul. Also, Dearborn 87-12 lol
UMichVoter. Kent County is looking very good fr Abdul I feel good about Abdul Stevens doesn't really have the same basket of heavy nuke votes left outside of Macomb AV And that Macomb vote is gonna be up against nice Abdul drops in West Michigan and the college counties
UMich used some conservative numbers for AES to estimate remaining on Twitter. It leads to a very narrow AES win.
The Michigan counties are fairly split in outcomes... for now.
Stevens leads in Wayne (Detroit) and two other counties. AES leads in nine counties.
2% of votes in VA-02 are in from Virginia Beach, big Luria lead, then Devanath (DSA endorsee), very few votes for anyone else
First numbers in for VA-SEN for GOP
From Nitter: Sam Robinson @samueljrob Operators of a venue where U.S. Reps Haley Stevens held an event in Grand Rapids Monday say they didn't know it was a Stevens campaign event. Attached is a statement that the operators were horrified learning it was a Stevens event and do not endorse her. This is due to their support for a Free Palestine. They apologize and are donating their profits to a local Pride Center.
pollster called yes. every kid. ? July 8 - 11 601 likely voters, gov is Tuberville 49 - Jones 41 Senate is Moore 47 - Wess 32
Noted transphobe Amy Acton's Bluesky account. It has been blocked because I subscribe to a list called "A Very British Bigotry." This is likely because she's transphobic.
Same Ipsos poll of RV as before 42 - 37, but also a poll of 4505 adults (same ones as the Trump approval?) with 36 D - 30 R.
Ipsos GCB poll, 3542 registered voters, July 29 - August 3. 42% D - 37% R Trump approval: 4505 adults, July 29 - August 3. 35-63.
Dr. Abdul El-Sayed @AbdulElSayed Considering the dangers of the Republican nominee & potential of her leadership, it’s time for all of us to unite behind @KamalaHarris to defeat Trump. 10:11 AM · Jul 22, 2024
Nitter screenshot from a poll account explaining that the EPIC-MRA primary poll was not real
Politics & Poll Tracker The EPIC-MRA poll for the Michigan Senate Democratic primary does not exist. Last edited Aug 3, 2026 · 6:15 PM UTC
Nitter screenshot, Politics & Polls Tracker The EPIC-MRA poll for the Michigan Senate Democratic primary does not exist. Last edited Aug 3, 2026 · 6:15 PM UTC
Ads in the primary as said. 9.7M other (could be a lot of McMorrow here), 7.3M AES, 63.9M Stevens, 80.9M total.
Nitter screenshot of UMichVoter's map of Stevens campaign ground operations. There are five locations in Detroit and three across the rest of the state. That's not very many.
Dick Morris' 2008 prediction after Obama became the Dem nominee Strongly D: HI, WA, OR, CA, NV, CO, NM, MN, IA, MO, AR, IL, WI, MI, FL, OH, VA, PA, NY, MD, DE, NJ, VT, MA, CT, NH, RI, ME Lean D: AZ, TN, NC, WV Tossup: LA, GA, SC Lean R: MT, TX, SD, MS, KY, AL, IN Strongly R: AK, ID, UT, WY, ND, NE, KS, OK
Norman Rockwell man, he's weary and frustrated that people on Bluesky are making him defend Chuck Schumer's legislative prowess from undue criticism
CALL TO ACTIVISM Twiiter account. July 31st post. "CAUGHT ON CAMERA: After already trailing in Alaska Senate polls, Republican Dan Sullivan was caught with a Confederate flag draped beside him." It's a video showing Sullivan speaking soemwhere, there are flags draped in front of him, one is the Confederate battle flag.
Wikipedia showing MI-12 Dem primary results in 2022. Rashida Tlaib won renomination as the Democratic nominee with 63.8% of the vote, Janice Winfrey getting 22.4%, Kelly Garrett getting 8.6%, and Shanelle Jackson getting 5.1%.
Wikipedia showing MI-12 Dem primary results in 2022. Rashida Tlaib won renomination as the Democratic nominee with 63.8% of the vote, Janice Winfrey getting 22.4%, Kelly Garrett getting 8.6%, and Shanelle Jackson getting 5.1%.
Two polling leads for Beto O'Rourke
Rick Wilson on Twitter Now that the whole climate change hoo-ha is going tango uniform, the UN IPCC folks can be reassigned to alien Welcome Wagon duties. 9:58 PM 26 Sep 10 TweetDeck
Austin Rogers Guidant Polling and Strategy internal of GOP primary in FL-02 Dates are MARCH 9 - 11. What the hell. 400 LV. Gross 16%, Norton 9%, Power 4%, Rogers 3% (????), Lewis 1%, Murphy 1%, Rowell 1%, Jones 0% Who the hell releases an internal poll where they have 3% of the vote and are in fourth. And nearly five months late???
Abdul El-Sayed enters the final weekend of the Michigan Democratic Senate primary leading Rep. Haley Stevens 54.8% to 45.2% in our projected result. Before undecided voters are allocated, he leads 47.6% to 39.5%, with 12.9% still undecided. Our survey gives El-Sayed a 96% probability of leading the field. That is a confident finding about who is ahead. It is deliberately not a confident finding about by how much. More on that at the end.
MI SEN D primary. 762 RV, AES 50% - Stevens 36% 762 LV, AES 48% - Stevens 40% July 25-29
Total Crime @totalcrime 19 Nov 2020 It will happen. Trump has bullied the rest of the GOP into going along with him. But once Trump (and his family) is gone, normal service will be resumed. The John McCains of this world will return. ɧყɖɛ ɬ. ۷ơƖɬყɠɛ @HydeVoltyge 19 Nov 2020 Replying to @totalcrime Did Dewey return after Goldwater? Did Rockefeller return after Reagan? Did moderates return after Bush? They're going to go further right. Nov 19, 2020 · 5:43 PM UTC
Mitchell general election poll of US Senate, Gov in Michigan Rogers 45 - El-Sayed 45 Rogers 45 - Stevens 41 Benson 46 - James 44
Israel is on here twice
A Norman Rockwell man stands up for the idea that a ten point advantage is pretty good
Spending by Outside Groups in Michigan's Senate Primary Outside groups have spent more than $60 million in the state's Democratic primary. The AIPAC-affiliated United Democracy Project, which is backing Stevens, has spent far more than anyone else. United Democracy ProjectA Stronger Michigan + Center Forward CommitteeCenter for Democratic PrioritiesAdditional pro-Stevens spendingPro El-Sayed spending Groups benefiting Stevens $60,097,935 Groups benefiting El-Sayed $4,631,743 The Center for Democratic Priorities has not reported total spending but is reported to have spent $6.5 million backing Stevens. FEC data accessed on July 30.
SC-01 poll from GQR - House Majority PAC (D) 400 LV, 50 R - 48 D, 43 R - 41 D - 5 L That Libertarian vote share will go down. It always does. July 15-22.
PPP Andrews (D) internal poll of SC-SEN 577 voters, July 16-17 41-38 vs Lynch, 42-38 vs Mace, 41-40 vs Sanford, 42-39 vs Fry, 42-43 vs Norman, 42-41 vs Evette, 41-44 vs Gowdy, 42-36 vs Warren
Inquire LLC poll | 7/17-7/18 LV US House 2026 | Florida’s 8th congressional district (Trump +16 | 2024) 🟥Mike Haridopolos 51% (incumbent) 🟦Jennifer Jenkins 42% (Republican pollster)
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024 7h SoCal poll | 7/28-7/30 US Senate Michigan Democratic primary 2026 (crosstabs) 🟩Overall: El-Sayed +17 —— Ages 🟩18-29: El-Sayed +30 🟩30-44: El-Sayed +46 🟩45-64: El-Sayed +14 🟪65+: Stevens +17 — Race 🟩White: El-Sayed +20 🟪Black: Stevens +6 🟩Hispanic: El-Sayed +49 — Gender 🟩Male: El-Sayed +26 🟩Female: El-Sayed +11 — Education 🟩No college: El-Sayed +17 🟩College grad: El-Sayed +18
3. The Four Amigos Four of the candidates I have in mind for this frame are Graham Platner (running for the Senate from Maine), Seth Moulton (running for the Senate from Massachusetts), Matt Mahan (gubernatorial candidate in California), and Thomas Massie himself.1 It’s a motley crew, I will admit. But here are the things they have in common: They’re in campaigns against either older opponents who are protective of the status quo or party apparatchiks. They have basically zero fucks to give when it comes to appeasing the party bosses. They’re articulating coherent critiques of the leaders of their respective parties. They have a fundraising incentive to go against the grain
A very tired Norman Rockwell man stands yet again to salute these beautiful numbers for AES
Zoomed in screenshot of polling of both parties on some issues (asking what they'd think of a candidate with this attribute or position), with responses being Enthusiastic, Okay, Uneasy, or Upset. Dems and Dem-leaning independents are the ones being polled in my screenshot here. Note that numbers won't add up due to my cropping / some being too small for labels "Someone who describes themselves as a dem soc" 20% enthusiastic, 53% okay "Someone who believes the US should cut support to Israel" 29% enthusiastic, 40% okay "Someone who frequently goes on the attack against their political opponents" small number enthusiastic, 24% okay, 43% uneasy (BOOOOO) "Someone over the age of 70" nearly but not fully 0 enthusiastic, 19% okay, 47% uneasy "Someone who supports some of Donald Trump's key policies" higher small amount enthusiastic, 10% okay, 28% uneasy "Someone who has been accused of sexual assault" the same number enthusiastic as "soneone over the age of 70" YIKES, some bigger small number okay, 18% uneasy, 79% upset
Mamdani support was highest in areas with most millennials 100% Mamdani share of two-way vote 75% 50% Largest ethnic group • Asian — Black — Hispanic White 25% 0% 0% 20% 40% Aged 25-39 60% Owen Winter, Sources: NYC Board of Elections, Census
RaceToTheWhiteHouse polls of MI-SEN with El-Sayed and Rogers. El-Sayed leads in all four independent polls and three Dem internals since mid-May. He is down in a push poll affiliated with the Haley Stevens campaign.
One of these days Norman Rockwell's standing man will finally get to sit down