Steve Clark

@jagalytics.bsky.social

51 Followers 74 Following

Partick Thistle and Data Driven Analysis. Stick him back on the pitch and tell him he's Einstein. https://jagalytics.substack.com/

Preview for the latest Jagalytics post - titled "It's a long shot, but it just might work". Graphic shows three stacked bars with the number of shots per game in different zones of the pitch
preview image for the jagalytics post, with the title "Red and yellow lines (5) - Cultured conductors" and the top of a scatter chart showing Elliot Watt and Luca Mack
preview image for the post, with the title "have thistle stalled?". The bottom shows a line chart of Thistle's rolling xG difference over the season, showing we have shifted positive in recent games.
Preview image for the latest jagalytics post, featuring the 'he gets on base' meme from moneyball in the background (changed to 'he gets on spreadsheets'). The title is 'Red (and yellow) lines (1) - ball running wingers'
preview image for the latest Jagalytics post - titled "Clinicality is our chief weapon" with a red and yellow dot plot in the background
preview image for the latest Jagalytics post has a plot of thistle events in a recent game, and an indication of the defensive line of the opposition. The title is "He's Behind you!"
Thistle's latest Jagalytics rating is 669
Preview image of the latest post, with the title “Slartibartfast and James Bond” and an image of a heatmap of the boing model
Latest Jagalytics power ratings include Thistle in second at 677, a gain of almost 20 points from last week
Preview image for the latest Jagalytics post, with the title “day of the dead(ball)”
Preview image for The Thistle sickle, with title “The funny old game: What advanced data tells us about Thistle’s keepers”
latest jagalytics power ratings have us dropping back to 665 - just a couple of points higher than the start of the season
Preview pic for latest Jagalytics post, titled “pivotal positions”
St. Johnstone are down to 706 in the jagalytics power ratings, with thistle growing to 690 and Ayr at 662.
Quote from the post: "Ball progression doesn't win you the league, but teams that win leagues progress the ball more often and more effectively than anyone else."
Preview image for the latest jagalytics post, with a scatter chart in the background showing points per game as a function of progressive actions. The title is 'We're all about forward motion here'
Win chance based on Jagalytics power ratings has Thistle winning 54 out of 100 times this weekend, and drawing 34 times
Latest Jagalytics power ratings has thistle steady in second, Ayr comfortably in third and County up to fourth
quote from the article - "Yes, our pressing is intense, but it seems there is a gradually improving effectiveness of that press"
Promo image for the latest Jagalytics article, showing a background of a scatter chart of Thistle's improved backline. Title is "Tightening up at the back"
Thistle are currently second in the power ratings, with 684 points. Both St. Johnstone and Thistle lost ratings points after draws at the weekend
preview image for the latest jagalytics post, with the title 'baking a cake' and a background of shot efficiency in the championship
St. Johnstone have a darker red box under 1st position, winning over 90,000 simulations of the league. Thistle win over 9,600 and are dark orange for position 2, finishing here in 79% of the sims
Thistle are the heaviest favoured team going into the weekend, with a 66% win chance against Arbroath, and 25% draw chance
Thistle are up to 696 power rating this season, with St. Johnstone the only other team overperforming where the season began
preview image for the latest jagalytics post - showing a scatter chart of attacking player usage and expected goal involvements behind a title of 'What type are you?'
Full Jagalytics power ratings covering the top 2 leagues in Scotland shows that Celtic have a rating of 889 and Thistle 666
1st BOING simulation of the year shown as a heatmap table , based on the firs few games of the season. Thistle win the championship in just under 10% of the simulations.
Preview image for the latest jagalytics post, with the title "Finding the rough with the Diamonds". The background image is a scatter chart of defensive spread vs. duel volume
preview image for the latest Jagalytics post has the title "What to expect when you're recruiting (4) - Oisin Smyth" and a background image showing part of a dot plot chart that shows Smyth positions similarly to Jason Holt, among others
Thistle climb to a Power Rating of 661, just behind Raith Rovers
preview image for the jagalytics post with the title "Oppo watch: beware the scorpion!" and the subtitle "Linebreakers, gamebreakers, double false nines and pincer movements." The background is a section of a table with the current Jagalytics power ratings
His heatmap at Morton in 23/24 was a hybrid - more left biased, but still box-to-box, flank-to-flank
last season, his heatmap was spread over a wider area vertically and horizontally
Robbie Crawford's heatmap this season has him much tighter to the left attacking third
Current Jagalytics power ratings puts Thistle third in the Championship
Preview post image shows the title "Below expectations" and a background of an arrow chart showing the change in defensive effectiveness from last season
The preview image shows the title "All power to you," with a subtitle "Getting ready to track the season ahead" and a background of an arrow plot of teams over- and under-performing the power ratings
Preview image for The Thistle article, titled “Surface Tension” shows a background of a football on the grass of Firhill being the goal
The preview image for the latest jagalytics post has the title "Finding data," the subtitle "I still haven't found what I'm looking for" and a background image showing part of a table with stats from the Scottish Championship
preview image for the latest post has the title "What to expect when you're recruiting (3) - Watt and Logan" and the subtitle "Chickens and Wolverines". The backgrounds shows a lollipop chart with players with a high positional similarity to Watt
Preview image for the Jagalytics post "Over my shoulder (11) - progressing" has the subtitle "We all struggle with forward motion" and a background image of a player making a progressive pass. Image credit: Wyscout
Preview image for the latest Jagalytics post has a background of part of a scatter graph, plotting the Thistle players with higher volume and success rate of crosses
Preview image for the latest season review post, showing a scatter chart of the most consistent shooters in the championship.
The latest jagalytics post preview image has a background of a right-sided defender's heatmap, behind the title ("Over my shoulder (8) - Cut it out!") and subtitle ("MINE!") of the post
preview image for the latest jagalytics post features a background of a scatter chart that plots players who made a big difference from set pieces, generating shots and goals
The preview image for the latest jagalytics post - reviewing the 24/25 Championship season by looking at the players who most effectively found exploitable attacking space - features a background image showing part of a football pitch split into the standard juego del posicion zones
The preview image for my latest post shows a scatter chart plotting players who instinctively dribble, and how successful they are. The post is here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jagalytics/p/over-my-shoulder-5-run-creation?r=4o8jfc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
Preview image of the latest Jagalytics recruitment post, showing the heatmap of Budinauckas' time last season with Thistle. The post is here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jagalytics/p/what-to-expect-when-youre-recruiting-249?r=4o8jfc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
preview image of the latest season-review series, this time looking at goalie distribution. Background shows distribution success for championship keepers. Post is here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jagalytics/p/over-my-shoulder-4-go-long?r=4o8jfc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
preview image for the latest jagalytics post has a background image of a heatmap showing Paddy Reading's positioning on the pitch last season. the full post is here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jagalytics/p/what-to-expect-when-youre-recruiting?r=4o8jfc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
scatter plot showing Lee Ashcroft has a league-leading win rate in terms of duelling overall and particularly in the air
Preview image for the latest in the series reflecting on the season just gone. Background is of a scatter chart showing the main pass-creators in the division. The post is found here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jagalytics/p/over-my-shoulder-3-pass-creation?r=4o8jfc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
Preview image for the latest jagalytics post shows a scatter chart of the best duellers in the championship last year. Post is here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jagalytics/p/over-my-shoulder-2-duelling?r=4o8jfc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true. The post is titled 'Over my shoulder (2) - duelling' and has the subtitle 'I will have my satisfaction, sir'
Preview image for the latest Jagalytics post, with a background of a scatter chart, showing players by pass volume and ability to retain possession. The post is here: https://open.substack.com/pub/jagalytics/p/over-my-shoulder-1-possession?r=4o8jfc&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
lollipop chart showing Stuart Bannigan was the second best player in the league for holding onto possession last season
Attacking player touch style shows Rovers channel through one attacking player
Comparing Rowe to 500 other FBs across six similar strength leagues
Tadpole chart showing the improvement in our defensive impact after the manger change this season
preview image of the latest jagalytics post shows a scatter chart placing players based on their attacking and defensive output