Justin S. Mankin

@jsmankin.bsky.social

2094 Followers 138 Following

climate scientist || documenting and predicting climate impacts || professor @dartmouth https://geography.dartmouth.edu/people/justin-s-mankin https://jsmankin.github.io/

Left: Annual-scale direct economic damages to the U.S. economy from the U.S. electric power sector emissions over the 1973-2023 period in billions of U.S. dollars benchmarked to the 2015 dollar value ($US2015). Right: Cumulative direct economic damages from U.S. power sector emissions, equivalent to the integral under the curve at the left.

Likelihood of exceeding a 2°C temperature target as a function of cumulative CO2 emissions. Scientific uncertainty is dwarfed by risk aversion uncertainty.