sometimes it does also come down to turnout
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Replies
Weekend Editor · Jun 25
People discouraged by Repubs & centrist Dems might not bother to fight the barriers to voting. But a candidate with good polices may inspire that. So did the higher turnout elect Mandami, or did Mandami cause the higher turnout? @pwgtennant.bsky.social can tell you a lot about this sort of thing.
Bogdan Ⓐgica · Jun 25
Doesn't a similar linear regression exist for pretty much every election where the incumbent loses? Maybe correlation is just correlation after all.
Moodles · Jun 25
is each point a precinct?
@kinderkathy.bsky.social · Jun 25
Without the axis labels this graph doesn’t mean anything. Would love the labels, please.
Alan Jackson · Jun 25
This should be a wakeup call for the geriatricrats leading the Democratic party.
Ernest 🇺🇸 · Jun 25
GOTV is most powerful in offyear primaries.
Artemis · Jun 25
I think the heatwave may have depressed 65+ turnout as well.