Michał Dubrawski (One-Armed Pundit)

@mdubrawski.bsky.social

155 Followers 416 Following

Author of the One-Armed Pundit Substack (forecasting, foresight, future, geopolitics, policy, decision-making) https://onearmedpundit.substack.com Suporting decision-makers as a professional forecaster at Metaculus and INFER (michal_dubrawski)

Image of flashcards made from business cards.

Wherever there is a difference (positive or negative) between expectations and the outcome, there is an opportunity to learn.

The ilustration shows a lander near thensurface of the Moon, and the substack article title "Russian Moon landing attempt - Forecasting case study & post-mortem analysis - part 1"