Matt Busche

@mrbusche.com

54 Followers 56 Following

Software Engineer. Wheel of Fortune expert. @northerniowa alum. Lover of spreadsheets. Buffalo cauliflower connoisseur.

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Closer to the Sky The Glorious Sons 3:27 •1.1M plays
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THE ALVIN KAMARA FLOOR Even JJ admits he's "always shocked when Kamara's projections come out the way they do." The numbers are wild: Kamara has never had a target share per game rate below 17.9% in any NFL season. JJ dug into the data and found that, since 2011, running backs with 18%+ target shares have finished outside RB1 territory just three times. And all three failed to hit an easy-to-achieve 25% rush share.
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Shifting scope works better than moving people because it avoids re-gelling costs and it preserves system behavior. Preserving Behavior keeps your existing mental model intact, and if it doesn't work out, you can always revert a workload change with less disruption than would be caused by a stagging change.
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