Sebastian Carl

@mrcaseb.com

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Football 🏈 in the #nflverse | #rstats | #dataviz | #engineering | Justin Herbert is Elite https://mrcaseb.com/

NFL team strength vs. schedule strength for the 2026 season, based on DraftKings lookahead spreads. Teams higher on the chart are rated stronger by the betting market, while teams further right are projected to face tougher opponents. The Rams, Bills and Seahawks rate among the strongest teams; the Cardinals and Dolphins face the hardest schedules.
Chart showing the 2026 NFL strength of schedule based on Vegas win totals: the Arizona Cardinals are projected to face the toughest schedule (.547), followed by the Miami Dolphins and Carolina Panthers. The Detroit Lions are projected to have the easiest schedule (.464). Bar chart ranks all 32 NFL teams from easiest to toughest schedule.
A table shows 2026 NFL draft prospects along with pick probabilities according to DraftKings Sportsbook for picks 1-10.
Laika. A mixed-breed female dog whose exact lineage is unknown. Her sisters look like Golden Retrievers
A table shows 2026 NFL draft prospects along with pick probabilities according to DraftKings Sportsbook for picks 1-10.
A table shows 2026 NFL draft prospects along with pick probabilities according to DraftKings Sportsbook for picks 1-10.
The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
NBA circle of parity. A circle with all 30 NBA team logos sorted in a way that each team beat the next team in the circle going clockwise.
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The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
Polars is incredible but come on the syntax is insane
The chart shows NFL team logos. Their position corresponds to the current probability that the team will make the playoffs this year. Comets go from the logos to the right and left. Their final position corresponds to the probability that the respective team will make the playoffs if it wins or loses in the current week. At the end of the comets are the probabilities in percent. The probabilities are based on 50,000 simulations of the remaining NFL season.
NFL circle of parity. A circle with all 32 NFL team logos sorted in a way that each team beat the next team in the circle going clockwise.
An NFL logo scatterplot shows how much NFL teams spend on their offensive and defensive units in 2025 (on the x-axis) and their respective PFF grades through week 6 (on the y-axis).
A NFL logo scatter plot shows offensive EPA per play (x-axis) and success rate (plays where EPA > 0) split by dropback and rushing.