Jan-Ole Fischer

@olemole.bsky.social

319 Followers 222 Following

PhD student in Statistics at Bielefeld University interested in doubly stochastic processes and their application to ecology 🦈, sports 🏈 and finance 📈 Website: https://janolefi.github.io GitHub: https://github.com/janolefi

Comparison between true state probabilities, stationary approximation, and periodically stationary distribution for three different simulated Markov Chains. The bias of the stationary distribution is severe.
Periodically stationary distribution (probability that the fly is active) as a function of the time of day. True stationary distribution is compared to biased approximation, and we see a substantial difference.