Or Tuttnauer

@ortuttnauer.com

1247 Followers 1571 Following

Political Scientist at MZES Uni. Mannheim. Traveler at heart. Father of three. Casual fan of NBA basketball, Marvel, Tolkien.

A screenshot from the Citation Compare webpage, showing the details for Louwerse et al. 2021
Maybe it's quibbling with semantics, but something about the integrity of our game doesn't sit quite right. Because the game is the game. And the game is incredible. Thursday night served up one of the best opening week double-headers we've seen in a long time: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander emptying the tank in a double-overtime bout against an Indiana Pacers team that refused to have its season defined by its sidelined cornerstone; the timeless experience of watching Steph Curry's late-game heroics from 30-plus feet away from the hoop. Amid all the uncertainty, the basketball was very good. So, no, when we're talking about integrity, we're not talking about a game. It's not the integrity of basketball that is under siege, but the NBA as a platform supporting it.
The effects of formateur uncertainty and preferences on formateur optimization. Note: Predicted probabilities based on Model 2 in Table 2. Vertical capped lines represent 90% confidence intervals.
The effect of the electoral gap on formateur optimization. Note: Predicted probabilities based on Model 2 in Table 1. Gray bars depict the percentage of cases for each value on the x-axis. Vertical capped lines represent 95% confidence intervals.
We, the presidents of five universities, appeal to you to instruct the IDF and other security forces to intensify their efforts, regardless of the heavy responsibility of Hamas and other actors, to resolve the terrible famine in Gaza, which is causing immense suffering to innocent people, including children and infants. Together with a growing number of the country's residents, we are watching in horror the images coming from the Gaza Strip, including those of babies dying every day from hunger and disease. The release of the hostages and minimizing harm to our soldiers are paramount goals, but as a people who were victims of the terrible Holocaust in Europe, we also have a special duty to act with all means at our disposal to prevent and avoid cruel and indiscriminate harm to innocent men, women, and children. We are appalled by statements made by ministers and members of the Knesset encouraging the deliberate destruction of the Gaza Strip and the expulsion of its civilian population. We expect a clear and unequivocal condemnation from you and from the government of these harsh statements, which are clearly an immoral call for acts that, according to senior legal experts in Israel and around the world, constitute war crimes and crimes against humanity. The deliberate destruction and the plan to create a “humanitarian city” express a loss of restraint and humanity from which we cannot recover, and cause irreparable damage. we expect you to take action.
An AI-made ad for an airline called Chimp-Hansa, looks like Lufthansa
A mediation analysis diagram, showing the effect of a party's conflict rate on its next vote share, mediated through party negativity and salience in media coverage. The effect of conflict rate is partially mediated through salience, but not negativity
תמונה של קראוון Forster A699 DVB
Figure 2 shows the distribution of answers to the campaign focus question, grouped, first, by electoral system category and second, within each group, according to the three candidate selection types. Following the “personal vote” literature, candidates in party-centred electoral systems reported that they worked harder at promoting their parties (M=2.38, SD=2.77) than candidates in candidate-centred electoral systems, who tended to be more focused on themselves (M=4.19, SD=2.76). The distributions for each type of intraparty selection method are visually distinguishable and statistically significant in countries with party-centred electoral systems (left). Candidates from parties with collegial selection methods clustered at the bottom of the scale (M=1.80, SD=2.58), while candidates from parties with primaries-based selection methods had the highest scores (M=3.25, SD=2.87). ICandidates in parties with the leader-based selection methods were in between (M=2.38, SD=2.54). In contrast, in countries with candidate-centred electoral systems, the difference between leader-based (M=4.35, SD=2.75) and primaries-based selection methods (M=4.29, SD=2.74) is insignificant, while the difference between them and collegial selection methods (M=3.89, SD=2.78) is significant but relatively small at 0.40-0.45.
A screenshot of an email text saying "I have no objection to your participation in my MA lecture" with a Grammarly suggestion to make it more personable by changing to "I don't think you should participate in my MA lecture"
Left to right: Or Tuttnauer, Jan Berz, Amanda Bittner, Maya Mark, Javier Martinez Canto, Roni Lehrer, Justin Spruit, Michelangelo Vercesi, Lucas Da Silva. Also attended: Ferdinand Müller-Rommel, Florian Grotz, Christoffer Green-Pedersen