King Raj

@rajmehta.ca

1292 Followers 214 Following

Baseball writer & analyst for Prospects Live. Creator of stats such as rajWAR, bFIP, and more. Jays fan.

05/19/26 OF Michael Martinez assigned to Augusta GreenJackets from FCL Braves.
05/19/26 CF Mike Sirota assigned to Tulsa Drillers from Great Lakes Loons.
Highlights of Justin Campbell's 5 strikeouts in his Double-A debut.
Clip of Bryan Rincon's four home runs at Double-A, all hit within his last 10 games.
Video of Austin Charles' home run, triple, and two singles in yesterday's doubleheader against High-A Wisconsin.
Clip of Jesus Pinto hitting three extra-base hits; two doubles followed by a home run. The first double left the bat at 108.9 mph, the second double left the bat at 104.9 mph, and the home run left the bat at 96.7 mph.
Highlights of Cole Mathis' seven home runs at Single-A.
Clips of all nine strikeouts from Riley Cornelio earlier today.
Clip of Joshua Kuroda-Grauer stealing third base, followed by a clip of Kuroda-Grauer hitting a home run on a fly ball to right field.
Avery Owusu-Asiedu hits a no-doubt home run to break up the no-hitter. EV: 107 mph Dist.: 401 ft
Jackson Merrill: 99 pitches 93+ MPH out of 265 total (37.4%) with a .095 batting average.
Joseph Dzierwa (16th BAL) Scouting Report Fastball: 45 Changeup: 60 Cutter: 40 Command: 55
Pitcher: Logan Webb Grisham - .272/.349/.587 Judge - .303/.460/.656 Bellinger - .228/.303/.312 Rice - .353/.436/.719 Stanton - .240/.329/.405 Chisholm - .256/.322/.507 Caballero - .205/.231/.355 McMahon - .234/.315/.429 Wells - .209/.306/.366
Pitcher: Max Fried Arraez - .226/.226/.287 Chapman - .240/.240/.310 Devers - .237/.364/.403 Adames - .193/.298/.250 Lee - .207/.240/.263 Ramos - .213/.289/.329 Schmitt - .214/.214/.375 Bailey - .227/.227/.292 Bader - .192/.307/.246
3/25: Fried 3/26: Off 3/27: Schlittler 3/28: Warren 3/29: Off 3/30: Weathers 3/31: Fried (5 DR) 4/1: Schlittler (4 DR) 4/2: Off 4/3: Warren (5 DR) 4/4: Weathers (4 DR) 4/5: Fried (4 DR) 4/6: Off 4/7: Schlittler (5 DR) 4/8: Warren (4 DR) 4/9: Weathers (4 DR) 4/10: Fried (4 DR) 4/11: Gil
Trent Harris’ pitch plot from today’s outing. Averages: Cutter: 93.1 mph, 13.9 iVB, -1.9 HB Curve: 79.8 mph, -16.9 iVB, -2.3 HB Slider: 87.9 mph, 2.1 iVB, -5.3 HB Splitter: 81.7 mph, -1.6 iVB, 7.0 HB 5.9 ft release height, 6.7 ft extension
Pierson Ohl’s 2025 pitch plot Arm angle: 47° 4-Seam: 91.9 mph, 18.4” iVB, 9.4” arm-side HB Change: 81.1 mph, 5.0” iVB, 13.3” arm-side HB Cutter: 85.3 mph, 8.3” iVB, 1.5” glove-side HB Curve: 77.9 mph, -10.7” iVB, 1.7” glove-side HB Knuckle: 79.7 mph, 9.0” iVB, 1.6” glove-side HB
Casey Schmitt gets hit on the wrist by a pitch from Calvin Faucher, a sinker that ran in on his hands.
My profile page. 1000 followers, 176 following, and 496 posts.
Sal Stewart - 196 Roman Anthony - 187 Samuel Basallo - 166 Matt Shaw - 165 JJ Wetherholt - 162 Jacob Melton - 155 Chase DeLauter - 155 Jac Caglianone - 151 Travis Bazzana - 147 Carson Benge - 142 Cole Young - 141 Cooper Ingle - 141 Dylan Beavers - 140 Owen Caissie - 137 Dalton Rushing - 136 Ryan Clifford - 135 Jonathon Long - 134 Gabriel Rincones Jr. - 133 Carter Jensen - 132 Emmanuel Rodriguez - 131
Word Count Words: 35251 Characters: 185146 Characters excluding spaces: 151130
Michael King's barreled 4-seam heatmap in 2025.
Michael King's 4-seam heatmap in 2024.
Michael King's sinker heatmap against RHB in 2024.
A home run hit by Christopher Morel in 2025.
A home run hit by Kyle Stowers in 2025.
A home run hit by Kyle Stowers in 2024.
Chart of Michael Soroka’s average pitch velocities by game. His fastball sat 94-95 to start the year, until late June when it started tanking. It bottomed out at 90.8 in a start in August, where he only pitched two innings then left due to a shoulder strain. He came back in a bullpen role near the end of the year and sat 95-96.
Overall FanGraphs Usage: Rank: 56th Percentile: 99.9th Award: DIAMOND Data Digger: Drilled deep into the MLB Leaderboards Roster Connoisseur: You were one of the first to know about roster moves on RosterResource. Cal Ripken Jr. Award: You've visited us every day this year! (338 days through 12/4)
1. Juan Soto - NYM 2. Shohei Ohtani - LAD 3. Aaron Judge - NYY 4. Pete Alonso - NYM 5. Kyle Schwarber - PHI 6. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - TOR 7. Bobby Witt Jr. - KCR 8. Byron Buxton - MIN 9. Corbin Carroll - ARI 10. Fernando Tatis Jr. - SDP
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Andrew Heaney’s performance bonus incentives, per spotrac.com: 120 IP: $50K 130 IP: $100K 140 IP: $150K 150 IP: $150K 160 IP: $150K 170 IP: $150K
Jays lineup vs LHP with Willi Castro. Average slash line: .274/.347/.458/.805 (.352 xwOBA).
Jays lineup vs LHP after substitutions. Average slash line: .263/.343/.433/.776 (.342 xwOBA).
Jays lineup vs LHP. Average slash line: .235/.310/.366/.676 (.302 xwOBA).
Jays lineup vs RHP. Average slash line: .290/.358/.492/.850 (.368 xwOBA).
Top 10 Hitters by SQ+ (min. 1000 pitches): 1. Kyle Tucker - 128 2. Gleyber Torres - 122 3. Miguel Vargas - 119 4. Jung Hoo Lee - 118 5. Marcus Semien - 118 6. Adley Rutschman - 118 7. Steven Kwan - 116 8. TJ Friedl - 115 9. Ty France - 115 10. Nolan Schanuel - 114
Top 10 hitters by “SWING+” in 2023 (min. 1000 pitches): 1. Corey Seager - 143 2. Matt Thaiss - 135 3. J.D. Davis - 134 4. Marcus Semien - 130 5. George Springer - 127 6. Kyle Tucker - 127 7. Mike Trout - 126 8. Freddie Freeman - 125 9. Chris Taylor - 125 10. Brandon Belt - 124
Table of R^2 values checking the correlation of each of 2023 ERA, RA/9, FIP, xERA, xFIP, SIERA, and bFIP to each of 2024 ERA, RA/9, FIP, xERA, xFIP, SIERA, and bFIP. 2023 bFIP is the most predictive of 2024 ERA, RA/9, FIP, xERA, and bFIP. 2023 xFIP is the most predictive of 2024 xFIP and 2023 SIERA is the most predictive of 2024 SIERA, with bFIP being second in both.
Search results of Joe Boyle’s splinkers thrown against the Braves on April 13th, along with various pitch-level metrics. Other stats appear just fine and seem normal, but the arm angle fields are blank.
Current AL West Standings 1. (T) Texas Rangers 2. (A) Los Angeles Angels 3. (H) Houston Astros 4. (S) Seattle Mariners 5. (A’s) Athletics
Picture of TD Ballpark, the Jays’ spring training home ballpark in Dunedin.
Picture of BayCare Ballpark, the Phillies’ spring training home ballpark in Clearwater.
Picture of TD Ballpark, the Jays’ spring training home ballpark in Dunedin.
Fantasy Team Draft Picks (pic 1 of 2): 1. Tarik Skubal 2. Yordan Alvarez 3. William Contreras 4. Oneil Cruz 5. Jacob deGrom 6. Alex Bregman 7. Yandy Diaz 8. Matt McLain 9. Ryan Helsley 10. Felix Bautista 11. Dansby Swanson 12. Spencer Strider 13. Tyler Holton 14. Jorge Soler
Clay Holmes’ changeups from his start today vs Houston, which is mislabeled as a sinker. 1: 90.1 mph, 1291 rpm, 2 inches iVB, 15 inches HB 2: 90.0 mph, 1303 rpm, 1 inch iVB, 13 inches HB 3: 89.2 mph, 1196 rpm, 1 inch iVB, 16 inches HB 4: 88.7 mph, 1324 rpm, -2 inches iVB, 15 inches HB 5: 86.3 mph, 1241 rpm, 4 inches iVB, 18 inches HB
Chart of the relationship between Command Run Value version 2 per 100 pitches for 2023 and 2024. The relationship has an R^2 of 0.346.
Chart of the correlation between Speed-to-Beef Index (SBI) and Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP). The correlation has an R^2 of 0.039.
Frankie Montas' pitch mix vs LHB, 2021. SI: 34.8% FS: 30.6% FF: 22.5% FC: 8.6% SL: 3.4%
Sean Manaea's pitch mix vs LHB, 2023. FF: 55.5% CH: 22.1% SL: 12.8% ST: 8.8% SI: 0.7%
Luis Severino's pitch mix vs LHB, 2023. FF: 51.6% SL: 17.8% CH: 16.2% FC: 14.2% SI: 0.3%
Frankie Montas' pitch mix vs LHB, 2024. FF: 33.4% FC: 23.1% FS: 21.9% SI: 19.6% SL: 2.1%
Tommy Edman's swing metrics as a righty and as a lefty. Tommy Edman (as RHB): 73.1 mph avg. bat speed, 25.5% Fast Swing%, 34.0% Squared-Up%, 11.7% Blast% Tommy Edman (as LHB): 68.8 mph avg. bat speed, 4.0% Fast Swing%, 29.8% Squared-Up%, 6.0% Blast%
Carlos Santana's swing metrics as a righty and as a lefty, compared to average. Carlos Santana (as RHB): 72.6 mph avg. bat speed, 28.3% Fast Swing%, 34.3% Squared-Up%, 16.1% Blast% Carlos Santana (as LHB): 71.5 mph avg. bat speed, 16.3% Fast Swing%, 26.1% Squared-Up%, 8.8% Blast% Average RHB: 71.7 mph avg. bat speed, 23.4% Fast Swing%, 24.7% Squared-Up%, 10.5% Blast% Average LHB: 71.3 mph avg. bat speed, 21.4% Fast Swing%, 25.4% Squared-Up%, 10.2% Blast%
Scatter plot of the relationship between the previous year’s rajwOBACON and the following year’s xwOBACON, minimum 1000 pitches both years. The correlation has an R^2 of 0.072.
Scatter plot of the relationship between the previous year’s qocwOBACON and the following year’s xwOBACON, minimum 1000 pitches both years. The correlation has an R^2 of 0.062.
Scatter plot of the relationship between the previous year’s bbwOBACON and the following year’s xwOBACON, minimum 1000 pitches both years. The correlation has an R^2 of 0.051.
Scatter plot of the relationship between the previous year’s xwOBACON and the following year’s xwOBACON, minimum 1000 pitches both years. The correlation has an R^2 of 0.058.
Ernie Clement’s Baseball Savant percentile rankings: Batting Run Value: 58th %ile Baserunning Run Value: 54th %ile Fielding Run Value: 80th %ile xwOBA: 12th %ile xBA: 58th %ile xSLG: 29th %ile Avg. Exit Velo: 4th %ile Barrel%: 12th %ile Hard-Hit%: 3rd %ile Sweet-Spot%: 51st %ile Bat Speed: 4th %ile Squared-Up%: 99th %ile Chase%: 1st %ile Whiff%: 96th %ile K%: 100th %ile BB%: 1st %ile OAA: 92nd %ile Arm Strength: 33rd %ile Sprint Speed: 78th %ile
Marcus Stroman's pitch plot, showing the average movement of his pitches, and of the MLB average for each pitch given the arm angle. Stroman's sinker has 10 inches of horizontal movement and 3 inches of vertical movement, while the MLB average has 15 inches of horizontal movement and 8 inches of vertical movement.