Kevin Robillard

@robillard.bsky.social

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HuffPost politics editor. Dad. Terp. Massachusetts native. Pitches, bookings, etc.: kevin.robillard@huffpost.com

The key is whether a chunk of the voters who backed former Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024 will vote against drawing the new maps. If the number is 10% or less, Democrats are confident they’ll prevail. As it approaches 15%, Democratic operatives said Republicans are more likely to triumph. Another Democrat who was briefed on the race but did not have authorization to speak to the press, said internal polling showed stubborn resistance to new maps among many white liberals in Northern Virginia – a bloc of voters long attracted to “good government” positions on issues like gerrymandering – even as Black voters throughout the state quickly got behind the new maps. But more recent polling has shown that resistance to drawing new lines is fading in the heavily Democratic suburbs of Washington, D.C. In many cases, voters simply did not understand why Democrats needed to draw the new maps – a sharp contrast to a successful November referendum in California, where voters understood the state’s new maps, eliminating five GOP-held seats, were meant to be a direct response to Texas’ elimination of five Democratic-held seats.
CNN POLL CONDUCTED BY SSRS March 6-9 Opinion of Trump's Handling of Economy              Approve   Disapprove             Now           44%         56% March '20     54%         42% March '19     51%         42% March '18     48%         45% March '17     55%         41% March 6-9 How Trump Is Handling His Job as President   Approve       45% Disapprove    54%   Margin of error: +/-3.3% pts