Jules S.

@runningdataguy386.bsky.social

753 Followers 1561 Following

Runner, data scientist/analyst/whatever, likes building mechanical keyboards. Iranian/Italian American. Issa fundraiser here https://chuffed.org/project/115465-help-issa-in-gaza

Two graphs from Stephen Semler showing the decrease in combat gear from Iraq correlating with the rise in US police force combat gear acquired.
Image of a tweet from Michael Adria saying the NYTimes opinion article with the above quote
Chart showing Chuck Schumers favorability and job approval since 1/14, showing a 19 point drop in net favorability and 15 point drop in net job approval.
Schumer announces he'll vote to keep government open, likely avoiding shutdown
Tweet saying “Assemblymember and NYC mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani attempts to approach Border Czar Tom Homan after Homan joins Republicans in Albany” with accompany video.
Video of me typing on a Palestine keyboard with a Palestine tray above to help my friend Issa. This is the link to his fundraiser https://chuffed.org/project/115465-help-issa-in-gaza
Tweet from Stacey Abrams with 3 calls to action to support Joy Reid (linked here: https://x.com/staceyabrams/status/1894106305981280494)
Mark Hamill posting a tweet saying “I stand with Israel”.
Quote tweet from Jeremy Schahill saying "In the U.S., you can go from facilitating a genocide to signing with Hollywood talent agents, all within the span of a few weeks." Original tweet from Newsweek: "Former Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Joe Biden are signing to a Hollywood talent agency."
Tweet from Jeremy Schahill saying: "Nine paragraphs into today's NYT story on the situation with the Gaza ceasefire, readers are informed that Israeli officials and international mediators "said that Hamas’s claims were accurate."" Screenshot says "The current standoff stems in part from Hamas's accusation that Israel has failed to uphold its promises for the first phase of the cease-fire - a six-week period that started on Jan. 19. Under the terms of the deal, Israel was required to send hundreds of thousands of tents into Gaza, among other humanitarian supplies, a promise that Hamas says Israel has not kept. Speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive matter, three Israeli officials" Original tweet says "As it has been for 15 months, the narrative about who is obstructing a Gaza ceasefire is upside down. Since the ceasefire officially went into effect Jan. 19, Israel has repeatedly violated it by shooting & killing Palestinians and continuing to withhold aid, tents, mobile homes."
Tweet from @malsaafin saying "Internationally wanted fugitive Yoav Gallant tells Israeli media that the current ceasefire deal is the same one Hamas agreed to 8 month earlier before it was sabotaged by members of the Israeli cabinet. This was the deal US Democrats kept saying was being held up by Hamas." Then it links to a clip.
Threads from Yourpal_austin “"Why are you punching left?" Just because we are in the same socioeconomic strata does not mean you are exempt from criticism. Just because we're teammates doesn't mean I can't call you out when you fuck up. Also this is rich coming from people who have spent the last 16 months disingenuously calling every democrat voter who disagrees with them genocidal child murderes. Maybe don't throw so many haymakers if you're gonna burst into tears the first time someone swings back.” Post from me on threads: “Do you blame Kamala Harris for not calling for a weapons embargo when over 30+ polls showed she needed one to have any chance at beating Donald Trump?” https://use-these-numbers.ghost.io/here-are-34-polls-that-show-a-ceasefire-weapons-embargo-help-kamala-win/
NEW: A Harris campaign organizer says senior officials ordered them to erase voters who asked about Gaza—marking emails as "no response" so they'd be removed from outreach. No engagement, no persuasion, just ignored. "The only clowns are the ones who decided to abdicate on this."
Screenshot from article: "Harris Lost Ground with Anti-MAGA Voters As regular readers might recall, Biden won in 2020 thanks to a surge of new and less-frequent voters who hadn’t shown up in 2016, and who voted much more Democratic than 2016 voters. These surge voters were the critical “anti-MAGA but not necessarily pro-Democrat” bloc that Harris needed to turn out again in order to win. This year, based on VoteCast data (see chart in the previous section), we can estimate that about 19 million people who voted for Biden four years ago stayed home. (40 percent of those voting in 2024 had voted for Biden in 2020, and 40 percent had voted for Trump. From there, it’s simple arithmetic.15) Moreover, with the same caveats until the voter files are updated, both VoteCast and Navigator found that in the battleground states, a greater share of 2020 Trump voters than Biden voters cast ballots in 2024, albeit by a smaller margin than in the rest of the country."
A chart showing who liberals think decided the 2024 election (3P voters) versus who actually decided the election (Kamala Harris). On the left hand side, it shows 3P voters choosing the path to elect Trump by saying "f*ck Kamala Harris", but it doesn't acknowledge the fact that Kamala would have still lost even if she got every 3P vote. On the right hand side it shows Harris choosing to not call for a weapons embargo, which doomed her election because it depressed Democratic turnout, of which 19M Biden 2020 voters did not vote in 2024, with 29% of those voters listing the g*nocide as the issue they didn't vote, meaning if she had called for a weapons embargo, she would have won a large portion of those voters and won the election.
Thread post from julesnader386 saying “Let's dissect this "Kamala would have been better on Gaza" argument. First off, do you have any proof that Kamala would have been better? Her statements during the campaign essentially mimicked Biden (on this and every issue), and he was actively committing a g*nocide. Kamala could have won if she said the phrase "weapons embargo" but decided not to. How can someone like that be trusted to be good for Palestinians when she wouldn't even stop the g*nocide to win the election?”
Google trends for "Luigi Mangione" and "drones" with searches for luigi starting right before the ones for drones, but both spiking one after the other.
Image showing Twitter searches for Ken Martin tweets saying the word Palestine. Answer is zero.
Tweet from IMEU of their poll saying Gaza was the top issue for Biden 2020 voters who did not vote in 2024. Link here https://x.com/imeupolicy/status/1879576523377975352
Screenshot of Twitter showing the account “BenWikler” has never tweeted the word “Palestine”.
Graph showing the distribution of Netflix’s 4 price plans since the beginning. It shows it doubling for the regular plan and the creation of others and those tripling in price. Link to article with data here: https://www.theverge.com/2025/1/21/24348682/netflix-price-increase-earnings-q4-2024
Thread from code pink: “Today, Israeli occupation forces should have withdrawn from Lebanon per the ceasefire agreement signed 60 days ago. Instead, they killed at least 15 people & injured 100+ more, and have declared they will continue occupying southern Lebanon.”
Text with the following text Me: Ok I will try. Where in the strip are you gonna travel between? I can try to create a map to share Issa: I will move from Deir al-Balah to the Gaza Strip, specifically to the Shuja'iyya neighborhood.
Image of two tweets: First tweet is from jonfavs saying "Republicans voted to make a weekend Fox and Friends host with a drinking problem the Secretary of Defense." Second tweet is from salianij saying "Democrats propped up a presidential campaign that was obviously gonna lose solely because they wouldn't stop a genocide."
Google Trends for searches of “Luigi” and “Drones” over the past 90 days for all searches. The spike of both happen around the same time and tail off in similar patterns.
Image of tweet form Keith Edward’s ““Thank you” doesn’t seem big enough to the team, founders and supporters who put their trust in me at The Lincoln Project. I’m filled with gratitude I could help fight for our country. And I’ll work the rest of my life to make sure this opportunity is never wasted. 🏴‍☠️”
Me typing on a keyboard with Palestinian keycaps and a watermelon tray with text overlaying a message asking people to donate to Issa’s campaign.
Bar graph showing YouGov measured audiences that show most having a >4% difference in Luigi favorability versus Congress approval. This includes Hispanic, Liberal, 18-29, Independents and Democrats, all who have >9% difference. Only Republican, 65+ and Black respondents had a higher view of Congress.
Me talking to camera in glasses and a grey hoodie.
Table breakdown of YouGov polling on the question “do you blame healthcare executives for the problems with the healthcare system” at 62% A Lot, 28% A Little and 10% not at all.
Google trends graph showing the search total for Luigi Mangione at 60% versus Trump at 50% after his assassination attempt, and 100% on Election Day.
A cartoon with the header text of “The Future Is Yours” with a woman in a pink dress holding her arms out straight like an air plane. Behind her is a man with a mask and his arm bleeding, and a mother with blood running down her head, holding up her dead child. They are wading through water and in the background is a destroyed car and plume of smoke.
Issue graph of NBC poll below showing Kamala at 30% being better than Trump on Israel versus 48% for Trump. This is Kamala's worst issue.
This shows a the breakdown of the survey respondent to The Economist/YouGov survey question on whether users "Support or Oppose a ceaseifre in the Israel-Hamas War?" Go to page 96 of this document for more detail: https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_WloY87T.pdf
screen shot of the Aljazeera website saying the following “US vetoes UN Security Council resolution on Gaza ceasefire The Security Council vote on the Gaza ceasefire resolution has ended with 14 votes for it and one vote against.” Also included the photo of the US alternate ambassador raising his right hand to vote against the measure.
Commissioned by the Arab American Institute (AAI), the online poll of 2,505 American voters conducted between July 31 and August 1 found that 44% of U.S. voters would back Harris, 40% would support Republican nominee Donald Trump, and 11% would vote third party “if the election for president of the United States were held today.” But if Harris were to endorse a suspension of U.S. arms shipments and diplomatic support for Israel “until there was a cease-fire and withdrawal of forces from Gaza,” her national support would grow from 44% to 49%.