Setu

@setupelz.bsky.social

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Equitable energy transitions, regions of the global South and vulnerable communities globally.

Call for abstracts - EGU 2026 session ITS3.6/ERE6.5 on justice and social science and humanities (SSH) integration in climate modelling. We invite work linking SSH and IAMs on justice, labour, needs, power, governance and Global South perspectives. Submit (by 15 Jan 2026) via https://www.egu26.eu/session/57677
A figure describing unelectrified populations by Urban-Rural Catchment Area (URCA) categories. The x-axis is ordinal, describing the URCA categories from within the urban core to the hinterlands. The y-axis is the percent of total unelectrified. The points are coloured by focus countries, with all others left as grey. The size of the points reflect the absolute unelectrified population. We can see the majority of the unelectrified population is found in categories that reflect at most 1 hour travel time to medium- and large cities.
A map of Sub-Saharan Africa, visualising the unelectrified population using circles sized by population (1000 people / 20 km) and coloured by electrification rate. The inset plots show the Gulf of Guinea, the Ethiopian Highlands and the African Great Lakes region.
Figure S15 – Relationship between TCRE_up and TCRE_down in the 841 FaIR ensemble members for C1 scenarios. Below the 1:1 line (red shading), carbon removals are less effective at cooling than emissions are at warming. The blue shaded region above the 1:1 line shows the opposite. Points are coloured according to the underlying TCREup.
Increased extreme heatwave exposure and carbon drawdown obligations under current policies and pledges. Increase in years of life exposed to extreme (1-in-100-year) heatwaves (primary y-axis) relative to the 1.5 °C reference scenario (IMP-REN, AR6), for all cohorts born between 1960 and 2020 (x-axis). The shaded areas reflect the 33rd and 66th percentile across all global climate model runs and TRQs (Methods). The annual equal per capita drawdown obligation to address regional responsibility for scenario overshoot by the year 2100 (starting in 2025) is shown on the secondary y-axis. This refers to an equal cumulative per capita allocation of the total carbon budget from the year 1990, composed of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (CO2-FFI) between the years 1990 and 2023 and an estimated 1.5 °C RCB (50% chance) from the year 2023.
Differentiated carbon debt accrual and overshoot responsibilities under current policies and pledges. (A) Estimated median climate overshoot under the assessed scenarios (33rd to 66th GMT anomaly quantiles as ribbon). (B) Emissions pathways, carbon debt accrual and corresponding overshoot responsibilities, separating regions that accrue carbon debt by 2030 from those that accrue carbon debt later (see grouping in the caption). This considers an equal cumulative per capita allocation of the total carbon budget from the year 1990, composed of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuel and industrial processes (CO2-FFI) between the years 1990 and 2023 and an estimated 1.5 °C RCB (50% chance) from the year 2023.
Assessing carbon debts accrued under varying regional net-zero CO2-FFI timings. Density plots describe scenario distributions of regional net-zero carbon debt accrual grouped by regional net-zero CO2-FFI timings in the AR6 scenarios database, subset to reflect a maximum 2090 regional net-zero CO2-FFI timing group. Circular shapes indicate the median net-zero carbon debt within each timing group.
The persistent accrual of net-zero carbon debt. Regional net-zero carbon debt is quantified by subtracting (i) past and (ii) future cumulative carbon emissions from (iii) a fair allocation of the total carbon budget comprising both a RCB and past global carbon emissions as desired.
Figure comparing remaining CO2-we budgets with deepest available domestic reduction (DADR) pathways.
Figure showing differences in remaining national CO2-we budgets under different interpretations of principles.
Figure showing differences in remaining national CO2-we budgets when accounting for different emissions sources.
Table describing the outcomes of the EU case study.
Table describing the four entry points listed in the post.
The National Oil Companies Assembly logo.