The Swing Is On @theswingison.com · Jun 27 The traditional 2-party system has been replaced. In 2025, 114 seats came down to Coalition vs Labor. On current numbers, just 1 does in our model. 110 seats are now Labor vs One Nation 2CP. The contest that defined a century of Australian elections has ceased to exist.
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The demo divide. Among the 15 most Christian electorates, 11 flip – all to One Nation. Among the 15 with the most overseas-born parents, zero change hands. One Nation's gains map onto older, more Christian, more Aus-born, home-owning communities.