Texas National Security Review

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A rigorous, policy-relevant journal on national & international security, brought to you by The University of Texas System | tnsr.org

Threats to Global Connectivity: Deep Ocean Danger

"Despite the contribution of economic issues to the Soviet Union’s demise, Pyongyang prioritizes continued commitment to patrimonialism and regime stability over economic progress." by Benjamin R. Young in Saving "Socialism: What North Korea Learned from the Collapse of the Soviet Union"

Scholar | "Saving Socialism: What North Korea Learned from the Collapse of the Soviet Union" by Benjamin R. Young

"Restrictive US policies that constrain exports of technology raise barriers to international collaboration and risk diminishing American influence, while allowing the PRC to position itself as the more accessible and cooperative partner in the global space arena." from "Choosing Orbits: China’s Space Diplomacy in the Middle East" by R. Lincoln Hines, Lawrence Rubin, Dayana Alagirova

"25 Years of the US–China Commission: What Have We Learned?"

Scholar | "Choosing Orbits: China’s Space Diplomacy in the Middle East" by R. Lincoln Hines, Lawrence Rubin, and Dayana Alagirova

Toward Undersea Cable Resilience: The Case for Global Collaboration | "To strengthen resilience, democracies must collaborate and invest in hardened cable designs, real-time monitoring and data sharing, routing diversity, regional repair hubs, and enhanced legal frameworks. They must work together to secure their lifeline for economic and national security and future digital-technology advancement." by Charles Mok

Strategist | "Toward Undersea Cable Resilience: The Case for Global Collaboration" by Charles Mok

When Our Minds Go Nuclear | "Individuals opposed to nuclear weapons become more accepting of their use as projected US troop fatalities rise. Likewise, those appalled by the prospect of a nuclear strike causing thousands of civilian deaths may come to support it as a 'lesser evil' when the alternative is an attack killing millions." | Paul Slovic, Missy Peterson, Rose McDermott, Daniel R. Post, Daniel Västfjäll

Scholar | "When Our Minds Go Nuclear: Rethinking Nuclear Strategy Through the Psychology of Risk and Decision-Making" by Paul Slovic, Missy Peterson, Rose McDermott, Daniel R. Post, and Daniel Västfjäll

Lessons from Iran’s Nuclear Program and Recent Regional Conflict | "As Iran’s expansive strikes against US bases and Gulf energy infrastructure, and its ability to control the Strait of Hormuz, demonstrate during the 2026 war, Tehran is far less restrained in a fight for its own survival. US and Israeli conventional dominance, however, also likely had the perverse effect of driving Iran to advance its nuclear program, exacerbating the cycle that ultimately led to Israeli and US strikes in June 2025." | What Good Is a Nuclear Threshold Capability? by Eric Brewer

Strategist | "What Good Is a Nuclear Threshold Capability? Lessons from Iran’s Nuclear Program and Recent Regional Conflict" by Eric Brewer

"New Tech, Old Traps: The Persistent Pitfalls in Military Innovations" with Herbert S. Lin

"The meaning of geography, or place, goes well beyond its traditional economic or strategic dimensions. People care deeply about where they are from and how that shapes who they are and what is most important to them." from "The Meaning of Place" by Francis J. Gavin

Foundation | "The Meaning of Place" by Francis J. Gavin

Strategic Stability | "These essays . . . point out why the search for strategic stability in an era of geopolitical and technological change may, ultimately, prove more elusive than hoped." by Sheena Chestnut Greitens, TNSR Editor-in-Chief

"The Balance of Control and Vulnerability: Cyber and Nuclear Risks" with Jacquelyn Schneider on "Horns of a Dilemma"

"Challenges and Opportunities for AI in Military Systems" with Michael C. Horowitz

Beyond the Hype: The Reality of Precision-Strike Weapons in Ukraine with Cameron L. Tracy

"Psychological Biases in the Era of Nuclear Weapons and AI" with Rose McDermott

TNSR | Texas National Security Review | "Strategic Stability"

Herbert S. Lin | "There is no question that US military forces are far superior in capability today compared to the numerically larger forces that the US had at the end of World War II. Nevertheless, the US military establishment has also exhibited what often seems to be an unreasonable degree of optimism about how useful new technologies will be for military purposes even in the short run." | Strategic Stability Roundtable, "On Optimism About New Military Technologies"

Roundtable | "On Optimism About New Military Technologies" by Herbert Lin

Strategic Stability Roundtable | "Technological Surprise and Normalization Through Use . . ." | We should typically expect the incorporation of new military technologies into existing systems of warfare, rather than technological disruption of those systems. Those studying technologies of war would do well to theorize practices of warfare as durable constructions that resist disruption | Cameron L. Tracy

Understanding Schelling's Nuclear Paradigms with Francis J. Gavin | Horns of a Dilemma

Roundtable | "Technological Surprise and Normalization Through Use: The Tactical and Discursive Effects of New Precision-Strike Weapons in the Russo-Ukrainian War" by Cameron L. Tracy

"Despite warnings about the cyber threats to nuclear stability, our understandings of when and why cyber operations create nuclear instability are rife with contradictory suppositions. Does entanglement create interdependence that stabilizes crisis dyads, or destabilizing pathways to inadvertent nuclear war?" | Strategic Stability Roundtable, "Cyber Operations and Nuclear Stability: Networked Instability?" by Jacquelyn Schneider

Roundtable | "Cyber Operations and Nuclear Stability: Networked Instability?" by Jacquelyn Schneider

"The Influence of Psychological Factors in the Search for Strategic Stability" by Rose McDermott | "Humans possess a series of biases in decision-making under conditions of risk and threat that may have benefited people in the past and may even continue to do so in the present around many issues. In the current nuclear world, however, enabled by an array of rapidly evolving emerging technologies, a single failure risks the future of humanity itself, and such biases may no longer serve us well to generate the best outcomes, especially under conditions of stress, conflict, uncertainty, and time pressure."

"The Future of Strategic Stability" with Harold Trinkunas on "Horns of a Dilemma"

Roundtable | "The Influence of
Psychological Factors in the Search for Strategic Stability" by Rose McDermott

Strategic Stability Roundtable, Artificial Intelligence and
the Future of Strategic Stability, quote by Michael C. Horowitz: "While there is inherent uncertainty since we are still early in the age of AI, at this point it appears as though the higher the confidence nuclear-armed states have in their second-strike capabilities, the lower the probability that they integrate AI in dangerous ways that make escalation at machine speed more likely, and vice versa."

"Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Strategic Stability" by Michael C. Horowitz

"For decades, strategic stability has been offered as both the prized goal and the great accomplishment of America’s nuclear statecraft, with Schelling acknowledged as the idea’s father. Examined closely, however, questions, tensions, and even contradictions appear, both in Schelling’s work and in the use of strategic stability to describe America’s nuclear strategy and statecraft." Quote by Francis J. Gavin from "Strategic Stability and Its Limits: Reflections on Schelling"

Strategic Stability Roundtable: "Emerging technological developments since the end of the Cold War—both in the nuclear and especially) non-nuclear domains—and their proliferation to new actors and emerging powers place strategic stability in the twenty-first century increasingly at question." Quote from "Emerging Technologies and the Future of Strategic Stability" by Herbert S. Lin and Harold Trinkunas

"Navigating a World Adrift with Shivshankar Menon"

"The Principle of Distinction in the Autonomous Age" with Nathan G. Wood on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube, and Amazon Music