Devolved Election Projections @devolvedelections.bsky.social · May 4 This differs from the MRP in a few ways, we agree on the top party in 14/16 constituencies. We have Reform ahead in Gŵyr Abertawe with Plaid leading Blaenau Gwent Caerffili Rhymni. They have the opposite.
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This is Reform's best poll in months but even under our model, which is probably the most generous to Reform, it's not enough to form a stable government.