Devolved Election Projections @devolvedelections.bsky.social · Jun 7 At the executive, the SDLP would be back to qualifying for a seat as the big three slip backwards from 2022.
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PBP and Sugden are being wiped out here, but it wouldn't take much of a polling for one or both to hold on. On 2% they'd be safe, on 1% they're done. (note we round to .5 because polling to one decimal place is silly).