Guy McCombe @guymc.com ยท Feb 20

๐Ÿ“Š GW26 Projections: Pick your Poisson Left: Team ratings from @elevenify.com Right: SpreadEx odds via @robtfpl.com (accessed 19/02) The key disagreement seems to be that Elevenify's model has lower expectations for Liverpool and Ipswich compared to current market odds

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Replies

zejoao-jjm ยท Feb 20

Thanks for your work. Very helpful.

Ian W ยท Feb 20

Deleted comment because numbers were wrong. For LEI, I get the attached predictions (just probabilities, not simulations). Is it fair to say that the bars in your chart are not "solid" in that not all scores in that range are likely/possible?