Dmitry Grozoubinski

@explaintrade.com

43365 Followers 364 Following

Author of Why Politicians Lie About Trade | Trade and Negotiations Explainer. Forever D&D DM. 🇺🇦 Born. 🇦🇺 Raised. 🇨🇭 Based. Media and training: explaintrade.com Consultancy network: auroramacro.com Speaking representation: cwgspeakers.com

Reform UK: Advocates for re-industrialization by abandoning Net Zero policies, which they claim would drastically reduce electricity costs for manufacturers. They have engaged with industry leaders to draft alternative strategies focusing on retaining domestic virgin steel-making capacity and using targeted procurement to protect British supply chains. Restore Britain: Led by Rupert Lowe, the party emerged from a split within Reform UK and campaigns on a localized, protectionist platform. They emphasize policies to repeal regulations that hinder British families and businesses, heavily prioritizing the rebuilding of domestic sovereign capabilities and supporting local grassroots manufacturing.
In pursuit of this aggressive geopolitical design, successive US administrations exploited Ukraine’s internal divisions and sabotaged every chance for compromise while relentlessly backing Russia into a corner. Gambling with the global economy and risking nuclear war, US planners then provoked and prolonged an illegal Russian invasion that has had catastrophic consequences—for the Ukrainian people above all. Washington’s cynical foreign policy did not just detonate peace in Europe but also deranged politics at home. Controversies around Russia and Ukraine played a pivotal role in three consecutive US presidential campaigns, driving the national hysteria known as “Russiagate” as well as the first impeachment of Donald Trump. With Trump's re-election pledge to broker peace still elusive, Maté presents a groundbreaking account of how the Russia–Ukraine conflict came to be, and how a brutal proxy war with existential stakes for humanity can finally be resolved.
Tweet from Nigel Farage MP. It reads, "I will make a statement on my future in public life at 2pm."
Tweet from Stephen Miller: "If you believe a foreign government can sail a hospital ship to the edge of US territorial waters, deliver a hundred babies to foreign moms, then promptly sail back to a foreign port, and that every one of those babies is American for life, you don't believe in nationhood at all."
My post, wit the word "in politics" underlined.
The bellcurve meme. On the top are normal people saying "Words mean things" on the left are Alito, Gorsuch and Thomas saying "No they don't." On the right is Kavanaugh saying "Sometimes."
A parody MrBeast-style YouTube thumbnail. On the left, an excited MrBeast-like creator with a huge open-mouthed expression points toward a sparse grey room. On the right, journalist Marie Le Conte sits on a bed holding Dmitry Grozoubinski’s book Why Politicians Lie About Trade. Large text reads “3 MONTHS,” “ONLY THIS BOOK!” and “$1,000,000,” with a red countdown timer showing “90:00:00,” stacks of cash, and a wall sign saying “NO PHONE. NO INTERNET. NO ESCAPE.”
The results of my political affiliation quiz. Your Results 81% Woke - 19% Chud 61% Techbro - 39% Neo-Luddite 75% Hopepilled - 25% Doomer 83% Davos - 17% Dubai My closest match is Mark Carney the Canadian Prime Minister.
A table of countries by GDP. The UK is 5th.
The project accomplished notable achievements in three of its four objectives. Objective 1. Pact reported providing 116 local advocacy grants to CSOs and coalition groups that achieved positive results in areas such as local government accountability, citizen participation, and empowering disadvantaged groups. Pact reported that grantees initiated 69 advocacy campaigns that led to the approval of 62 local level regulatory acts. In addition, Pact reported that coalition efforts that included the participation of local and national actors initiated 29 regulatory acts and public policies at the national level. Objective 2. The project supported 46 positive modifications made to enabling legislation or regulations for civil society at local and national levels. For example, the Law on Charity and Charitable Organizations was adopted in part because of a project partner that led efforts to draft the law. The new law simplified registration procedures for charitable organizations, increased their transparency requirements, and gave them new ways of getting funding, such as charitable bequests. Objective 3. Pact reported that it helped 551 organizations improve their internal organizational capacity. Through the Marketplace voucher system, project grantees and other CSOs applied for consultations, training, and educational programs in areas such as strategic planning, organizational and financial management, and fund-raising skills.
"Definitely that kind of owner, he thought. Self-made man proud of his handiwork. Confuses bluffness and honesty with merely being rude. I wouldn't mind betting a dollar that he thinks he can tell a man's character by testing the firmness of his handshake and looking deeply into his eyes."
A map of Australia with the desert bit circled. The desert bit is most of it.
Trade is especially vulnerable to this kind of demagoguery. Although it is confusing and technical, with many knock-on effects that only happen further down the line, trade is also the sort of topic people feel like they intuitively ‘get’. This leaves them open to confidently spouted rubbish disguised as plain spoken common sense. Trade rhetoric is inflated with this hot air.
The congressional approval process will offer more opportunities for the public and elected representatives to shape trade agreements. I will seek expedited congressional approval of trade agreements only when every regional advisory committee and the labor, consumer, and rural advisory committees unanimously certify that the agreement serves their interests. I will also expand the list of congressional committees that must review any agreement before it is eligible for expedited consideration.
A spokesperson for Chubb said: “The DFC programme’s purpose is to insure ships while transiting under naval escort, and there has been no escort.”
A comic. In the initial four panels, an athlete is seen wildly celebrating his medal. He's testing its gold content, throwing up the middle finger to the crowd, spraying champagne. In the last panel, the camera zooms out and it is revealed he is in last place.
Hi Dmitry Grozoubinski (ExplainTrade.com), We’re pleased to let you know that we’ve recently reviewed your YouTube account, and after taking another look, we can confirm that it is not in violation of our Terms of Service. We have lifted the suspension of your account, and it is once again active and operational. We’d like to thank you for your patience while we reviewed this case. If you have any further questions, please feel free to reach out to us here. Sincerely, The YouTube team
Hi Dmitry Grozoubinski (ExplainTrade.com), We have reviewed your appeal for the following: Channel: Dmitry Grozoubinski (ExplainTrade.com) We reviewed your channel carefully, and have confirmed that it violates our spam, deceptive practices and scams policy. We know this is probably disappointing news, but it's our job to make sure that YouTube is a safe place for all. How this affects your channel We won't be putting your channel back up on YouTube. Learn about your resolution options. Thanks, The YouTube team
Hi Dmitry Grozoubinski (ExplainTrade.com), We have reviewed your content and found severe or repeated violations of our spam, deceptive practices and scams policy. Because of this, we have removed your channel from YouTube. We know this is probably very upsetting news, but it's our job to make sure that YouTube is a safe place for all. If we think a channel severely violates our policies, we take it down to protect other users on the platform - but if you believe we've made the wrong call, you can appeal this decision. You'll find more information about the policy in question and how to submit an appeal below. What our policy says Content that promotes spam, scams, or other deceptive practices isn’t allowed on YouTube. Learn more How this affects your channel We have permanently removed your channel from YouTube. Going forward, you won't be able to access, possess, or create any other YouTube channels. What you can do next There are steps you can take if you want to appeal this decision: Review YouTube's Community Guidelines. Appeal here. Make sure to fill out the appeal form as completely as possible, including your channel URL: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgeFpDzX6H2VIkYrCIhk5PA If you have any further questions, please feel free to reach out to us here. Sincerely, The YouTube team
Jonn's tweet with the letters "D M I T R Y" circled.
Ancient statue of a cat.
Little cat!
Camo-cat.
Cat sleeping on a chair behind a goose.
Cat in the mountains.
Cat with a view.
Cat by the water.
Stern looking floof (cat.)
Me patting two cats.
Cat with a view of the city.
A cat with some visible wounds.
Cat!
Cat curled up asleep on a chair.
Floofy cat.
Cat!
Black and white cat!
Ancient tablet carved with words in Greek.
The problem is, this is absolutely still the case whether you write anything down or not. The Trump administration simply does not prioritize fidelity to legal texts as highly as its partners would like. If President Trump woke up one morning and decided that the US really needed a 40% tariff on EU automobiles, the linguistic legal rigor and formality status of the US-EU communique would not be a major factor in whether he acted on that impulse. The US under the Trump administration does not share the negotiating approach most countries have used for decades, wherein you make binding commitments in strong legal language in areas you’re sure you won’t be violating and soft or no commitments in areas where you think a derogation is likely. They are vibe coding international relations, and we’re all just caught trying to navigate the resulting spaghetti code.
Same cat, yawning wide. Shoooooo shweeepy.
A cat. He is unimpressed. Soooooo unimpressed.
The bottom half of my post highlighted.
Statue of two feet.
Ancient Greek statue looking quite sceptical.
Bluesky posts from me (Dmitry) a month ago: They read: So, in launching a huge bombing campaign on Iran they apparently didn't plan for: - Who takes over; <--- New red arrow pointing to this. - Interceptor shortages from sustained drone retaliation; - How to defend US bases in the region; - Threats to ships in the Strait of Hormuz; and - How to evacuate Americans with airspace closed. Truly the Fyre Festival of strategic campaigns. To avoid waking up to 30 replies on this: Planning FOR who takes over is not the same as planning who takes over. You don't have to place the second domino, but you should probably know what it is and where it's leaning.
With Peter Mandelson there is always risk; a hint of jeopardy, a whiff of cordite. Remember, he was twice forced to resign from the Blair government. But the reason why Mandelson was always brought back will be the same reason Starmer has appointed him now: yes he has his faults, but he’s bloody good and a class act.
A comic of a group of dinosaurs gathered around a chart as a meteor hurtles toward them. Above, the caption reads, "On an earnings call 66 million years ago..." The chart depics the S&P 500 climbing rapidly. The dinosaur is saying, "No need to panic, the meteor may impact earth but not the SpaceX IPO."
A quote tweet by Brother Bjorn calling Abigail Spanberger a "vile Jewish bitch" for ending the tax exemption status for the United Daughters of the Confederacy.
A poll showing that if only people over 65+ voted Fidesz would have won 59.3% to 22.8%.
The main driver of this generational disaffection was the powerful influence exerted on them by Western identity politics and, underpinning it, therapy culture, with its emphasis on victimhood and vulnerability. The influence of therapy culture and the increasing focus on individual psychology and identity have tended to detach young people from the traditional, conservative values of Fidesz. In effect, many young Hungarians hold attitudes closer to those of their Western peers than the older members of their own society.
Screenshot of a tweet from Masoud Pezeshkian. It reads: His Holiness Pope Leo XIV (@Pontifex), I condemn the insult to Your Excellency on behalf of the great nation of Iran, and declade that the desecration of Jesus, the prophet of peace and brotherhood, is not acceptable to any free person. I wish you glory by Allah."
A flying... thing... Listen, I'm sorry but I literally can't describe it. It's humanoid, it has what are either wings or banners or machine guns behind it. It's not clear if it has a head. It has three spikes coming out of where it's neck should be. I'm scared. Hold me.
The 'Epic Handshake' Meme, with Macron and Academics clasping hands in solidarity over the idea that at "A Conference Will Fix This."
Last but not least, many of the Russian technocrats, students and journalists I met in Moscow last Saturday told me there was a reason they were more amenable to this particular proposal for a European peace and security agenda: it was put to them by someone whose stance on the Ukraine war four years ago (“Stand with Ukraine but not with Nato’s expansion”) was attacked with equal venom by the Russian government’s supporters and Nato stalwarts. This may help explain the impromptu party atmosphere, following the proposal’s presentation, to which I surrendered happily. Mending fences in the cause of peace takes a variety of small, human steps.
Many will ask: how would the Russian government, Vladimir Putin in particular, respond to such a proposal? While no one knows until it is on the table, my recent experience in Moscow tells me that Russian civil society is not only ready to welcome it enthusiastically but also to pressurise its government to take it seriously. Eager to reconnect with the West, but repulsed by the clear signs EU leaders want to see Russia torn apart by centrifugal forces, Russian public opinion is keen to enter into a fruitful dialogue on the basis of such a plan — including opponents as well as supporters of Putin’s government.
As wars and the fear of war expand their domain, an international push for peace is more pertinent than ever. An inability to imagine what a comprehensive European peace and security agenda would look like is perhaps the worst impediment to its emergence. The above six-point proposal is meant as an example of how to overcome this obstacle, outlining concrete steps Europe could take to break the deadlock and give itself a chance to become relevant again.
Sixth, modelled on South Africa’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission, established after the fall of apartheid to offer an opportunity to air grievances and to be heard by the opposite side, a similar council shall be convened by the UN, led by judges with experience in restorative justice from South Africa and other countries.
Fifth, the European Union unfreezes Russia’s assets and removes all sanctions. Meanwhile Russian energy begins to flow again to Europe, with a portion of all proceeds dedicated to a Ukraine reconstruction fund.
Fourth, the Donbas and other disputed territories that come under Russian control shall be demilitarised and governed in the same manner as Northern Ireland under the Good Friday Agreement. Just as London retained sovereignty on paper but, in practice, shares it with Dublin, while the two communities share power equally on every governing body (from local government to Stormont), the idea here is that sovereignty of the areas that Russia is granted will remain formally within Russia, but free movement within and outside these regions will be guaranteed, and each municipality as well as every Oblast will be governed on the basis of equal representation of Russian- and Ukrainian-speakers. Anyone who says that this is impossible must be reminded that, not long ago, it seemed similarly impossible to envision Sinn Féin and Ulster Unionists power-sharing.
Third, all war refugees will have the right to return to their pre-2014 homes, with all sides committing to aid their return in practice.
Second, the signatories of this Peace and Security Agenda shall agree on the gradual elimination across Europe of certain categories of weapons (including nuclear, chemical, and AI-powered drones). Within this context of deescalation, Russian and Ukrainian troops shall withdraw fully 300 kilometres on either side of the agreed border or line of control.